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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Strasbourg
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Strasbourg 7. · St Etienne 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Dijon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Reims 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Lille 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Lyon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Rennes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Nice 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Caen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Angers 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Guingamp 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.