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Ligue 1

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Lorient

U T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 12. · Montpellier 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	24	21	3	0	+50	66
2	Monaco	25	12	9	4	+8	45
3	Nice	25	11	6	8	+9	39
4	Angers	25	10	7	8	+2	37
5	Lyon	25	10	6	9	+7	36
6	St Etienne	24	11	3	10	-1	36
7	Caen	24	11	3	10	-3	36
8	Nantes	24	9	8	7	+1	35
9	Marseille	24	8	10	6	+10	34
10	Rennes	24	8	10	6	+2	34
11	Bordeaux	24	8	9	7	-2	33
12	Lorient	24	7	9	8	-2	30
13	Guingamp	24	8	6	10	-4	30
14	Lille	24	6	11	7	+0	29
15	Bastia	24	8	4	12	-7	28
16	Reims	24	6	8	10	-8	26
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	24	6	8	10	-9	26
18	Montpellier	24	7	4	13	-3	25
19	Toulouse	24	4	8	12	-17	20
20	Troyes	24	1	8	15	-33	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	10	1	0	+29	31
2	Bordeaux	12	7	3	2	+9	24
3	Bastia	12	8	0	4	+7	24
4	Monaco	13	6	5	2	+6	23
5	St Etienne	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Nice	12	7	1	4	+7	22
7	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Angers	13	5	6	2	+4	21
9	Guingamp	12	5	4	3	+6	19
10	Lorient	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Nantes	12	5	4	3	+2	19
12	Caen	12	6	1	5	-4	19
13	Lille	12	5	3	4	+3	18
14	Reims	13	4	5	4	+1	17
15	Montpellier	13	5	0	8	-3	15
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	11	3	5	3	-2	14
17	Rennes	12	3	5	4	-2	14
18	Marseille	12	2	7	3	+6	13
19	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-1	11
20	Troyes	13	0	6	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	2	0	+21	35
2	Monaco	12	6	4	2	+2	22
3	Marseille	12	6	3	3	+4	21
4	Rennes	12	5	5	2	+4	20
5	Nice	13	4	5	4	+2	17
6	Caen	12	5	2	5	+1	17
7	Nantes	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	Angers	12	5	1	6	-2	16
9	Lyon	13	4	3	6	-3	15
10	St Etienne	12	4	1	7	-7	13
11	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Lille	12	1	8	3	-3	11
13	Lorient	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Guingamp	12	3	2	7	-10	11
15	Montpellier	11	2	4	5	+0	10
16	Reims	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Bordeaux	12	1	6	5	-11	9
18	Toulouse	13	2	3	8	-16	9
19	Troyes	11	1	2	8	-22	5
20	Bastia	12	0	4	8	-14	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.