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Ligue 1
Referee: O Thual
Amiens
T U T U U
1–2
Full-time
Monaco
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
61%
74%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
61%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 19. · Monaco 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 23 19 1 3 +44 58
2 Marseille 24 14 7 3 +12 49
3 Rennes 23 12 4 7 +7 40
4 Lille 24 12 4 8 +4 40
5 Montpellier 23 9 7 7 +4 34
6 Lyon 23 9 6 8 +14 33
7 Reims 23 8 9 6 +6 33
8 Nice 23 9 6 8 +2 33
9 Strasbourg 23 10 3 10 +0 33
10 Monaco 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Nantes 23 10 2 11 -2 32
12 Bordeaux 23 8 7 8 +6 31
13 Angers 24 8 6 10 -8 30
14 Brest 23 7 8 8 -2 29
15 St Etienne 23 8 4 11 -12 28
16 Metz 23 6 9 8 -7 27
17 Dijon 23 6 6 11 -7 24
18 Nimes 23 5 6 12 -15 21
19 Amiens 23 4 8 11 -17 20
20 Toulouse 24 3 4 17 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Monaco
1–0 S. Guirassy
F. Otero
9′
Fousseni Diabaté 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ K. Baldé
S. Mendoza 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
63′
66′
🟨 Adrien Silva
70′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
B. Zungu 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
74′
83′
🟨 Stevan Jovetić
Q. Cornette 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
84′
85′
W. Ben Yedder 1–1
88′
🔁 Fàbregas
↦ S. Jovetić
93′
I. Slimani 1–2
Fàbregas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
4 N. Opoku D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
9 S. Guirassy F
28 F. Diabaté M
11 F. Otero M
Bench (7)
20 S. Mendoza
8 B. Zungu
29 Q. Cornette
14 H. Aleesami
13 C. Jallet
19 C. Akolo
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Elsner

Monaco

4-4-1-1
40 B. Lecomte G
3 G. Maripán D
39 B. Henrichs D
2 F. Ballo D
32 B. Badiashile D
8 Adrien Silva M
17 A. Golovin M
22 Y. Fofana M
10 S. Jovetić F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
14 K. Baldé M
Bench (7)
20 I. Slimani
4 Fàbregas
1 D. Subašić
24 A. Tchouaméni
25 K. Glik
28 Jorge
12 R. Aguilar

Coach: Robert Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,78
U
3,53
B ✓
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.