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Serie B

Perugia

U T T S S

0–3

Full-time

Spezia

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 40%

41%

38%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 5

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 7. · Spezia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	22	15	6	1	+26	51
2	Crotone	23	11	4	8	+8	37
3	Frosinone	23	10	7	6	+8	37
4	Pordenone	23	10	6	7	+1	36
5	Salernitana	22	9	6	7	+4	33
6	Cittadella	23	9	6	8	+0	33
7	Perugia	22	9	6	7	-1	33
8	Pescara	22	9	5	8	+5	32
9	Spezia	21	8	7	6	+4	31
10	Virtus Entella	22	8	7	7	+2	31
11	Ascoli	23	9	4	10	+1	31
12	Chievo	22	7	9	6	+3	30
13	Empoli	23	7	9	7	-3	30
14	Pisa	22	7	8	7	+1	29
15	Juve Stabia	23	8	5	10	-7	29
16	Venezia	23	6	9	8	-4	27
17	Cremonese	22	5	8	9	-9	23
18	Cosenza	22	4	8	10	-3	20
19	Trapani	22	4	7	11	-18	19
20	Livorno	23	3	5	15	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	12	9	3	0	+21	30
2	Pordenone	12	8	3	1	+11	27
3	Frosinone	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Crotone	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Empoli	12	5	6	1	+7	21
7	Perugia	11	6	3	2	+6	21
8	Salernitana	10	5	4	1	+7	19
9	Virtus Entella	10	5	4	1	+5	19
10	Juve Stabia	12	6	1	5	-1	19
11	Chievo	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Spezia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Pescara	12	4	5	3	+5	17
14	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
15	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
16	Cittadella	12	4	3	5	-4	15
17	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-1	10
18	Trapani	11	2	4	5	-5	10
19	Livorno	11	3	1	7	-8	10
20	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	6	3	1	+5	21
2	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
3	Venezia	12	4	6	2	+2	18
4	Pescara	10	5	0	5	+0	15
5	Salernitana	12	4	2	6	-3	14
6	Spezia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Pisa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Crotone	11	4	1	6	-2	13
9	Frosinone	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Chievo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Virtus Entella	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Perugia	11	3	3	5	-7	12
13	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-2	10
14	Juve Stabia	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Pordenone	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-10	9
17	Trapani	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Ascoli	12	2	2	8	-7	8
19	Cremonese	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Livorno	12	0	4	8	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.