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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Wolfsburg
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
35%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
40%
65%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 10. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 13 3 4 +35 42
2 RB Leipzig 20 12 5 3 +28 41
3 Dortmund 20 11 6 3 +28 39
4 M'gladbach 20 12 3 5 +15 39
5 Leverkusen 20 10 4 6 +7 34
6 Schalke 04 20 9 7 4 +5 34
7 Hoffenheim 20 10 3 7 +0 33
8 Freiburg 20 8 5 7 -1 29
9 Ein Frankfurt 21 8 4 9 +6 28
10 Wolfsburg 20 7 6 7 -1 27
11 Augsburg 21 7 5 9 -11 26
12 Union Berlin 20 7 2 11 -9 23
13 Hertha 20 6 5 9 -10 23
14 FC Koln 20 7 2 11 -11 23
15 Mainz 20 6 0 14 -19 18
16 Werder Bremen 20 4 5 11 -21 17
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 4 4 12 -22 16
18 Paderborn 20 4 3 13 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Fortuna Dusseldorf
13′
M. Zimmermann 0–1
B. Tekpetey
K. Mbabu 🔁
↦ William
27′
40′
🔁 M. Jørgensen
↦ K. Ayhan
Half-time 0–1
W. Weghorst 🔁
↦ D. Ginczek
46′
Marin Pongračić 🟥
48′
1–1 R. Steffen
A. Mehmedi
50′
61′
🔁 N. Ampomah
↦ B. Tekpetey
João Victor 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
74′
74′
🔁 T. Pledl
↦ E. Thommy
79′
🟨 Andre Hoffmann
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-3-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
2 William D
22 M. Pongracic D
14 A. Mehmedi M
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
24 X. Schlager M
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (9)
19 K. Mbabu
9 W. Weghorst
40 João Victor
12 P. Pervan
7 J. Brekalo
13 Y. Gerhardt
25 J. Brooks
11 F. Klaus
6 Paulo Otávio

Coach: O. Glasner

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-1-4-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
29 M. Suttner D
3 A. Hoffmann D
5 K. Ayhan D
6 A. Morales M
25 M. Zimmermann M
10 V. Berisha M
22 K. Stöger M
15 E. Thommy M
28 R. Hennings F
37 B. Tekpetey F
Bench (9)
19 M. Jørgensen
27 N. Ampomah
18 T. Pledl
8 A. Barkok
4 K. Nuhu
1 M. Rensing
23 N. Gießelmann
31 M. Sobottka
39 J. Zimmer

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
U ✓
4,18
B
5,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.