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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Paris SG
S S S S S
3–3
Full-time
Monaco
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 64%
83%
44%
Points per game
2,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
61%
72%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Monaco 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 15 0 3 +33 45
2 Marseille 20 12 5 3 +9 41
3 Rennes 19 10 3 6 +6 33
4 Nantes 20 10 2 8 +1 32
5 Lille 20 9 4 7 +2 31
6 Montpellier 20 8 6 6 +8 30
7 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +12 29
8 Angers 20 8 5 7 -2 29
9 Monaco 18 8 4 6 +5 28
10 Reims 19 7 7 5 +4 28
11 Nice 20 8 4 8 +1 28
12 Strasbourg 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Bordeaux 20 7 5 8 +5 26
14 Brest 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 St Etienne 20 7 4 9 -9 25
16 Dijon 20 5 6 9 -7 21
17 Metz 20 4 8 8 -10 20
18 Amiens 19 4 5 10 -16 17
19 Nimes 19 3 6 10 -17 15
20 Toulouse 20 3 3 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Monaco
1–0 Neymar
M. Verratti
3′
7′
Gelson Martins 1–1
W. Ben Yedder
10′
🟨 Keita Baldé
13′
W. Ben Yedder 1–2
K. Baldé
1–3 F. Ballo
own goal
24′
2–3 Neymar
42′
Half-time 2–3
65′
🔁 I. Slimani
↦ Fàbregas
70′
I. Slimani 2–4
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
80′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
80′
82′
🔁 R. Aguilar
↦ Gelson Martins
84′
🟨 Tiemoué Bakayoko
85′
🔁 Adrien Silva
↦ W. Ben Yedder
E. Cavani 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
86′
88′
🟨 Fodé Ballo-Touré
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-2-2-2
1 K. Navas G
2 Thiago Silva D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
11 Á. Di María M
6 M. Verratti M
27 I. Gueye M
10 Neymar M
18 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
19 Pablo Sarabia
8 L. Paredes
9 E. Cavani
31 C. Dagba
23 J. Draxler
3 P. Kimpembe
16 Sergio Rico

Coach: T. Tuchel

Monaco

4-4-2
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
3 G. Maripán D
39 B. Henrichs D
2 F. Ballo D
4 Fàbregas M
6 T. Bakayoko M
17 A. Golovin M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
14 K. Baldé F
Bench (7)
20 I. Slimani
12 R. Aguilar
8 Adrien Silva
22 J. Augustin
30 S. Sy
31 Gil Dias
32 B. Badiashile

Coach: Robert Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
U ✓
7,23
B
11,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,23
U2,5
4,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.