Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Amiens
Toulouse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | +43 | 55 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Rennes
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +8 | 40 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 33 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 32 |
| 6 |
Nantes
|
22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Lille
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 31 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | +0 | 30 |
| 9 |
Angers
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 |
Bordeaux
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +6 | 29 |
| 11 |
Reims
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Nice
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 13 |
Monaco
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 29 |
| 14 |
Brest
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +1 | 28 |
| 15 |
St Etienne
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 |
Metz
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -9 | 23 |
| 17 |
Dijon
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 |
Amiens
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -17 | 18 |
| 19 |
Nimes
|
21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -19 | 15 |
| 20 |
Toulouse
|
21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -26 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Gurtner
G
A. Calabresi
D
S. Guirassy
F
Coach: L. Elsner
R. Gabrielsen
D
B. Diakité
D
I. Sangaré
M
K. Kone
M
E. Koulouris
F
Coach: D. Zanko
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brest
Amiens
Amiens
Reims
Amiens
Montpellier
Paris SG
Amiens
Amiens
Dijon
F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.