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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Amiens
U T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Toulouse
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 17%
19%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
76%
52%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 18. · Toulouse 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 18 1 3 +43 55
2 Marseille 21 12 6 3 +9 42
3 Rennes 22 12 4 6 +8 40
4 Montpellier 22 9 6 7 +4 33
5 Lyon 21 9 5 7 +15 32
6 Nantes 22 10 2 10 -1 32
7 Lille 21 9 4 8 +0 31
8 Strasbourg 21 9 3 9 +0 30
9 Angers 21 8 6 7 -2 30
10 Bordeaux 21 8 5 8 +6 29
11 Reims 21 7 8 6 +3 29
12 Nice 21 8 5 8 +1 29
13 Monaco 21 8 5 8 +0 29
14 Brest 21 7 7 7 +1 28
15 St Etienne 21 8 4 9 -8 28
16 Metz 21 5 8 8 -9 23
17 Dijon 21 5 6 10 -8 21
18 Amiens 21 4 6 11 -17 18
19 Nimes 21 3 6 12 -19 15
20 Toulouse 21 3 3 15 -26 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Toulouse
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
Bakaye Dibassy 🟨
65′
68′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ W. Vainqueur
F. Otero 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
73′
Sehrou Guirassy 🟨
75′
78′
🟨 Ibrahim Sangaré
F. Diabaté 🔁
↦ G. Kakuta
82′
84′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ W. Saïd
90′
🟨 Kouadio Koné
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
27 A. Chedjou D
12 B. Dibassy D
3 A. Calabresi D
4 N. Opoku D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
15 M. Konaté F
29 Q. Cornette M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (7)
11 F. Otero
28 F. Diabaté
14 H. Aleesami
8 B. Zungu
19 C. Akolo
16 M. Dreyer
13 C. Jallet

Coach: L. Elsner

Toulouse

4-1-4-1
40 L. Kalinić G
4 R. Gabrielsen D
5 S. Moreira D
12 I. Sylla D
19 B. Diakité D
21 W. Vainqueur M
14 M. Dossevi M
17 I. Sangaré M
34 K. Kone M
25 W. Saïd M
20 E. Koulouris F
Bench (7)
27 J. Makengo
11 Q. Boisgard
10 A. Leya
32 A. Taoui
18 A. Rogel
30 B. Reynet
13 M. Goncalves

Coach: D. Zanko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,35
B
3,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.