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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Monaco

S S U S U

1–4

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,3

3,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+2,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 61%

42%

79%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

74%

63%

Both score Ø 48%

58%

37%

Average goals

3,3

3,1

Scored

1,8

2,4

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 12

5 Blocked shots 1

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 8. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	15	1	3	+33	46
2	Marseille	20	12	5	3	+9	41
3	Rennes	20	11	3	6	+7	36
4	Nantes	20	10	2	8	+1	32
5	Lille	20	9	4	7	+2	31
6	Montpellier	20	8	6	6	+8	30
7	Lyon	20	8	5	7	+12	29
8	Monaco	19	8	5	6	+5	29
9	Reims	20	7	8	5	+4	29
10	Angers	20	8	5	7	-2	29
11	Nice	20	8	4	8	+1	28
12	Strasbourg	20	8	3	9	-2	27
13	Bordeaux	20	7	5	8	+5	26
14	Brest	20	6	7	7	+0	25
15	St Etienne	20	7	4	9	-9	25
16	Dijon	20	5	6	9	-7	21
17	Metz	20	4	8	8	-10	20
18	Amiens	20	4	6	10	-16	18
19	Nimes	20	3	6	11	-18	15
20	Toulouse	20	3	3	14	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Paris SG	10	8	1	1	+21	25
3	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+8	23
4	Montpellier	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Angers	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Nice	10	6	2	2	+8	20
7	Strasbourg	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Monaco	9	6	1	2	+10	19
9	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
10	Nantes	10	6	1	3	+3	19
11	Brest	10	4	5	1	+9	17
12	Dijon	10	4	4	2	+1	16
13	Reims	10	3	6	1	+4	15
14	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
15	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
16	St Etienne	10	3	4	3	-2	13
17	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-4	12
18	Lyon	9	3	2	4	+5	11
19	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-2	11
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	0	2	+12	21
2	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
3	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
4	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Reims	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Nantes	10	4	1	5	-2	13
7	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Monaco	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Montpellier	10	1	5	4	-3	8
11	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
12	Brest	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	Angers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
14	Strasbourg	10	2	1	7	-8	7
15	Metz	10	1	4	5	-11	7
16	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-8	5
18	Lille	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Nimes	10	0	4	6	-16	4
20	Toulouse	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.