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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Dijon
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Rennes
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
23%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
31%
42%
Both score Ø 45%
31%
58%
Average goals
1,6
2,4
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Rennes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 11 0 3 +22 33
2 Marseille 13 6 4 3 -1 22
3 Angers 13 6 3 4 +1 21
4 St Etienne 13 6 3 4 -2 21
5 Lyon 14 5 4 5 +8 19
6 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +4 19
7 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Lille 14 5 4 5 +3 19
9 Reims 13 5 4 4 +3 19
10 Nantes 13 6 1 6 -1 19
11 Rennes 12 5 3 4 +3 18
12 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Brest 13 4 5 4 -2 17
14 Nice 14 5 2 7 -4 17
15 Amiens 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Metz 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Dijon 13 3 3 7 -7 12
19 Toulouse 13 3 3 7 -10 12
20 Nimes 12 2 5 5 -5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Rennes
20′
🟨 Adrien Hunou
Half-time 0–1
58′
Raphinha 0–1
59′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ Raphinha
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ E. Loiodice
60′
62′
🟨 Hamari Traore
Didier N'Dong 🟨
67′
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ Matheus Pereira
68′
1–1 F. Sammaritano
M. Alphonse
70′
76′
🔁 J. Lea Siliki
↦ J. Gelin
2–1 M. Chouiar
F. Sammaritano
82′
86′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ A. Hunou
F. Balmont 🔁
↦ M. Chouiar
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-1-4-1
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
2 M. Alphonse D
24 W. Lautoa D
26 F. Chafik D
20 R. Amalfitano M
22 D. Ndong M
10 Matheus Pereira M
12 E. Loiodice M
11 Júlio Tavares F
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (7)
7 F. Sammaritano
17 Mama Baldé
15 F. Balmont
31 A. Ngouyamsa Nounchil
8 B. Soumaré
6 T. Barbet
40 E. Hatfout

Coach: S. Jobard

Rennes

4-4-2
16 E. Mendy G
15 J. Morel D
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
26 J. Gelin M
21 J. Gnagnon D
8 C. Grenier M
23 A. Hunou M
11 M. Niang F
22 R. Del Castillo F
7 Raphinha M
Bench (7)
20 F. Tait
12 J. Lea Siliki
9 T. Siebatcheu
4 G. Nyamsi
17 F. Maouassa
34 Y. Gboho
1 R. Salin

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,85
U
3,27
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.