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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Werder Bremen
U U U U T
1–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
91%
64%
Both score Ø 73%
91%
55%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 14. · Schalke 04 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 11 8 1 2 +13 25
2 RB Leipzig 11 6 3 2 +17 21
3 Bayern Munich 11 6 3 2 +13 21
4 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +8 21
5 Dortmund 12 5 5 2 +8 20
6 Hoffenheim 11 6 2 3 +2 20
7 Schalke 04 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Leverkusen 11 5 3 3 +2 18
9 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 2 4 +5 17
10 Wolfsburg 11 4 5 2 +1 17
11 Union Berlin 11 4 1 6 -4 13
12 Hertha 11 3 2 6 -4 11
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 3 2 6 -4 11
14 Werder Bremen 11 2 5 4 -6 11
15 Augsburg 11 2 4 5 -11 10
16 Mainz 11 3 0 8 -18 9
17 FC Koln 11 2 1 8 -13 7
18 Paderborn 12 1 2 9 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Schalke 04
43′
A. Harit 0–1
B. Raman
Half-time 0–1
Maximilian Eggestein 🟨
50′
53′
B. Raman 0–2
Sebastian Langkamp 🟨
55′
C. Pizarro 🔁
↦ N. Şahin
55′
Philipp Bargfrede 🟨
69′
72′
🟨 Matija Nastasić
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ P. Bargfrede
73′
73′
🔁 W. McKennie
↦ M. Uth
1–2 Y. Ōsako
80′
81′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ B. Raman
B. Goller 🔁
↦ S. Langkamp
85′
87′
🟨 Omar Mascarell
88′
🔁 G. Burgstaller
↦ A. Harit
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-1-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
17 N. Şahin M
44 P. Bargfrede M
30 D. Klaassen M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
8 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (9)
14 C. Pizarro
24 J. Eggestein
39 B. Goller
27 S. Kapino
19 J. Sargent
32 M. Friedl
4 M. Lang
36 C. Groß
10 L. Bittencourt

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
35 A. Nübel G
24 B. Oczipka D
5 M. Nastasić D
20 J. Kenny D
4 O. Kabak D
18 D. Caligiuri M
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
9 B. Raman F
7 M. Uth M
Bench (9)
2 W. McKennie
14 R. Matondo
19 G. Burgstaller
37 M. Mercan
3 Juan Miranda
23 M. Schubert
22 S. Skrzybski
21 F. Reese
15 A. Kutucu

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U
3,62
B ✓
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.