Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | +32 | 42 |
| 2 |
Standard
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +20 | 36 |
| 3 |
Gent
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |
Charleroi
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 31 |
| 5 |
Mechelen
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 6 |
Antwerp
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +9 | 30 |
| 7 |
Genk
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |
Anderlecht
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 | Mouscron | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 11 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |
St Truiden
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 20 |
| 13 |
Eupen
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -16 | 17 |
| 14 |
Kortrijk
|
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 |
Oostende
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -16 | 13 |
| 16 |
Cercle Brugge
|
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -22 | 11 |
| 17 | Waasland-Beveren | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -17 | 10 |
| 18 |
Beveren
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -17 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kortrijk
Waregem
Standard
Mechelen
Gent
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.