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Ligue 1
Referee: A Bieri
Amiens
S U U S T
0–4
Full-time
Strasbourg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
62%
23%
Both score Ø 54%
77%
31%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 15. · Strasbourg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 11 0 3 +22 33
2 Marseille 13 6 4 3 -1 22
3 Angers 13 6 3 4 +1 21
4 St Etienne 13 6 3 4 -2 21
5 Lyon 14 5 4 5 +8 19
6 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +4 19
7 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Lille 14 5 4 5 +3 19
9 Reims 13 5 4 4 +3 19
10 Nantes 13 6 1 6 -1 19
11 Rennes 12 5 3 4 +3 18
12 Monaco 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Brest 13 4 5 4 -2 17
14 Nice 14 5 2 7 -4 17
15 Amiens 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Strasbourg 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Metz 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Dijon 13 3 3 7 -7 12
19 Toulouse 13 3 3 7 -10 12
20 Nimes 12 2 5 5 -5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Strasbourg
43′
A. Caci 0–1
L. Mothiba
Half-time 0–2
56′
L. Ajorque 0–2
T. Monconduit 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
58′
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ A. Blin
63′
Aurélien Chedjou 🟨
70′
F. Otero 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
70′
72′
A. Thomasson 0–3
75′
🔁 Nuno Da Costa
↦ L. Mothiba
76′
Nuno Da Costa 0–4
A. Caci
78′
🟨 Mohamed Simakan
81′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ L. Ajorque
Aurélien Chedjou 🟨
82′
Aurélien Chedjou 🟥
82′
85′
🔁 L. Carole
↦ A. Caci
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
13 C. Jallet D
27 A. Chedjou D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
10 G. Kakuta M
20 S. Mendoza M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
19 C. Akolo M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (7)
6 T. Monconduit
24 M. Bodmer
11 F. Otero
22 M. Talal
29 Q. Cornette
25 J. Lefort
16 M. Dreyer

Coach: L. Elsner

Strasbourg

4-3-1-2
1 M. Sels G
13 S. Mitrović D
27 K. Lala D
24 A. Djiku M
19 A. Caci D
2 M. Simakan D
26 A. Thomasson M
18 I. Sissoko M
22 Y. Fofana M
25 L. Ajorque F
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
29 Nuno Da Costa
17 J. Bellegarde
23 L. Carole
20 L. Zohi
30 B. Kamara
6 J. Grimm
3 A. N'Dour

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U
3,02
B ✓
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,36
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.