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Bundesliga

Referee: A Heiß

Salzburg

S U S S S

2–2

Full-time

St. Polten

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg St. Polten

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 54%

86%

21%

Points per game

2,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

4,9

3,6

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,6

Goal diff per game

+3,1

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

79% Possession 21%

19 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · St. Polten 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	12	2	0	+44	38
2	LASK	14	11	2	1	+21	35
3	Wolfsberger AC	14	8	3	3	+18	27
4	SK Rapid	14	7	3	4	+10	24
5	Sturm Graz	14	7	2	5	+7	23
6	Hartberg	14	6	3	5	-1	21
7	Austria Vienna	14	4	3	7	-8	15
8	St. Polten	14	3	4	7	-22	13
9	Tirol	14	3	3	8	-15	12
10	Altach	14	3	1	10	-13	10
11	Mattersburg	14	3	1	10	-22	10
12	Admira	14	2	3	9	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	2	2	+11	14
3	LASK	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+3	13
5	Hartberg	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Austria Vienna	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	SK Rapid	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Altach	8	2	1	5	-3	7
9	St. Polten	7	1	2	4	-11	5
10	Admira	6	1	1	4	-5	4
11	Tirol	6	1	1	4	-9	4
12	Mattersburg	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+18	17
3	SK Rapid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Wolfsberger AC	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Hartberg	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Sturm Graz	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Tirol	8	2	2	4	-6	8
8	St. Polten	7	2	2	3	-11	8
9	Mattersburg	7	2	0	5	-12	6
10	Austria Vienna	7	1	2	4	-6	5
11	Admira	8	1	2	5	-14	5
12	Altach	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.