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Serie A
Referee: A Colombo
Sassuolo
S T T S T
4–2
Full-time
Juventus
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,60 xG 1,16
43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 17. · Juventus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +12 +7.1 12
2 Milan 5 4 0 1 +3 +2.1 12
3 Lecce 5 3 2 0 +4 -1.2 11
4 Juventus 4 3 1 0 +7 +5.3 10
5 Frosinone 5 2 2 1 +1 -0.2 8
6 Napoli 4 2 1 1 +3 +4.4 7
7 Torino 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.6 7
8 Fiorentina 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
9 Verona 5 2 1 2 -1 -2.6 7
10 Atalanta 4 2 0 2 +3 +2.3 6
11 Bologna 4 1 2 1 -1 +1.9 5
12 Roma 4 1 1 2 +5 +3.8 4
13 Monza 4 1 1 2 -3 -0.5 4
14 Genoa 5 1 1 3 -4 -2.3 4
15 Lazio 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.4 3
16 Udinese 4 0 3 1 -3 -1.6 3
17 Sassuolo 4 1 0 3 -4 -4.7 3
18 Salernitana 5 0 3 2 -5 -3.5 3
19 Cagliari 4 0 2 2 -3 -1.8 2
20 Empoli 4 0 0 4 -12 -5.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Juventus
1–0 A. Laurienté
12′
21′
M. Viña 2–0
own goal
36′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
3–0 D. Berardi
Matheus Henrique
41′
Half-time 3–0
M. Viti 🔁
↦ Ruan Tressoldi
46′
46′
🔁 N. Fagioli
↦ F. Miretti
46′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ F. Kostić
Daniel Boloca 🟨
51′
55′
🟨 Danilo
Domenico Berardi 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ W. McKennie
Matías Viña 🟨
64′
76′
🔁 M. Kean
↦ D. Vlahović
78′
F. Chiesa 3–1
N. Fagioli
4–1 A. Pinamonti
82′
Andrea Pinamonti 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ M. Locatelli
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
85′
Samu Castillejo 🔁
↦ A. Pinamonti
85′
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
85′
G. Ferrari 🔁
↦ M. Viña
91′
4–2 F. Gatti
own goal
95′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
28 A. Cragno G
22 J. Toljan D
5 M. Erlić D
44 Ruan Tressoldi D
17 M. Viña D
24 D. Boloca M
7 Matheus Henrique M
10 D. Berardi M
11 N. Bajrami M
45 A. Laurienté M
9 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (14)
21 M. Viti
3 M. Pedersen
20 Samu Castillejo
92 G. Defrel
13 G. Ferrari
14 Pedro Obiang
25 G. Pegolo
23 C. Volpato
6 U. Račić
42 K. Thorstvedt
8 S. Mulattieri
15 E. Ceïde
2 F. Missori
33 D. Theiner

Coach: A. Dionisi

Juventus

3-5-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
4 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
16 W. McKennie M
20 F. Miretti M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
11 F. Kostić M
9 D. Vlahović F
7 F. Chiesa F
Bench (11)
21 N. Fagioli
17 S. Iling-Junior
22 T. Weah
18 M. Kean
14 A. Milik
36 M. Perin
24 D. Rugani
27 A. Cambiaso
23 C. Pinsoglio
41 H. Nicolussi
13 D. Huijsen

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,23
U
3,93
B
1,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.