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Conference League
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Rīgas FS
U T U T T
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,2
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 34%
11%
57%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
71%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 7
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Fiorentina – Rīgas FS 1–1

Match report

Rīgas FS Fiorentina
P. Mareš 🔁
↦ K. Dubra
3′
7′
⚽ A. Barák 0–1
R. Saponara
44′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 0–2
A. Barák
Half-time 0–2
Emerson Deocleciano 🔁
↦ T. Šimkovič
46′
46′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ G. Bonaventura
46′
🔁 S. Żurkowski
↦ R. Mandragora
47′
⚽ R. Saponara 0–3
J. Ikoné
Artūrs Zjuzins 🟨
55′
V. Sorokins 🔁
↦ P. Mareš
59′
K. Friesenbichler 🔁
↦ A. Zjuzins
59′
59′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ Arthur Cabral
59′
🔁 F. Di Stefano
↦ J. Ikoné
G. Žaleiko 🔁
↦ T. Šarić
73′
76′
🔁 Y. Maleh
↦ A. Barák
77′
🟨 Lucas Martínez Quarta
79′
🟨 Lorenzo Venuti
89′
🟨 Alessandro Bianco
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

3-4-3
12 P. Šteinbors G
77 K. Dubra D
21 E. Stuglis D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
66 J. Vlalukin M
3 A. Zjuzins M
24 T. Šarić M
4 V. Maksimenko M
81 T. Šimkovič F
19 A. Ilić F
10 D. Rakels F
Bench (9)
25 P. Mareš
9 Emerson Deocleciano
2 V. Sorokins
30 K. Friesenbichler
99 G. Žaleiko
13 J. Ņerugals
29 Bill
1 V. Černiauskas
14 R. Varslavāns

Coach: V. Morozs

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
23 L. Venuti D
28 L. Martínez D
98 Igor D
15 A. Terzić D
5 G. Bonaventura M
38 R. Mandragora M
72 A. Barák M
11 J. Ikoné F
9 Arthur Cabral F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (12)
42 A. Bianco
27 S. Żurkowski
7 L. Jović
43 F. Di Stefano
14 Y. Maleh
99 C. Kouamé
16 L. Ranieri
4 N. Milenković
2 Dodô
95 P. Gollini
32 A. Duncan
3 C. Biraghi

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.