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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Fiorentina
U U U T U
3–1
Full-time
Empoli
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
53%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 12. · Empoli 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 16 15 1 0 +25 46
2 Napoli 15 11 2 2 +18 35
3 Inter 16 10 2 4 +15 32
4 Milan 15 7 5 3 +6 26
5 Lazio 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Torino 16 5 7 4 +2 22
7 Atalanta 15 6 3 6 +9 21
8 Roma 15 5 6 4 +6 21
9 Sassuolo 15 5 6 4 +2 21
10 Parma 15 6 3 6 -3 21
11 Sampdoria 15 5 5 5 +4 20
12 Fiorentina 15 4 7 4 +5 19
13 Cagliari 15 3 8 4 -4 17
14 Empoli 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Genoa 15 4 4 7 -10 16
16 Spal 16 4 4 8 -10 16
17 Udinese 16 3 4 9 -9 13
18 Bologna 15 2 5 8 -11 11
19 Frosinone 15 1 5 9 -22 8
20 Chievo 16 0 7 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -17 Fiorentina – Empoli 1–2 20. Nov -16 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–4 10. Apr -16 Empoli – Fiorentina 2–0 22. Nov -15 Fiorentina – Empoli 2–2

Match report

Fiorentina Empoli
23′
⚽ R. Krunić 0–1
F. Caputo
1–1 K. Mirallas ⚽
G. Simeone
40′
Half-time 1–1
Marco Benassi 🟨
53′
53′
🔁 L. Capezzi
↦ I. Bennacer
55′
🟨 Rade Krunić
2–1 G. Simeone ⚽
59′
Gerson 🟨
65′
71′
🔁 J. Untersee
↦ L. Antonelli
72′
🔁 M. Zajc
↦ H. Traorè
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ K. Mirallas
75′
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ C. Nørgaard
75′
3–1 B. Dabo ⚽
78′
D. Hancko 🔁
↦ C. Biraghi
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-4-1-2
1 A. Lafont G
31 Vitor Hugo D
5 F. Ceccherini D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
6 C. Nørgaard M
24 M. Benassi M
8 Gerson M
11 K. Mirallas F
9 G. Simeone F
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (11)
7 V. Eysseric
14 B. Dabo
16 D. Hancko
2 V. Laurini
10 M. Pjaca
15 M. Olivera
21 R. Sottil
28 D. Vlahović
33 F. Brancolini
69 B. Drągowski
77 C. Théréau

Coach: S. Pioli

Empoli

5-3-2
1 I. Provedel G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 L. Antonelli D
22 D. Maietta D
5 F. Veseli D
2 G. Di Lorenzo D
33 R. Krunić M
10 I. Bennacer M
8 H. Traorè M
11 F. Caputo F
20 A. La Gumina F
Bench (11)
28 L. Capezzi
27 J. Untersee
6 M. Zajc
4 M. Brighi
9 Alejandro Rodriguez
18 A. Acquah
21 P. Terracciano
32 J. Rasmussen
48 S. Uçan
66 S. Mráz
99 A. Fulignati

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.