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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Udinese
T T U S S
0–4
Full-time
Napoli
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 7. · Napoli 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 3 1 0 +11 10
2 Milan 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Roma 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Fiorentina 4 3 0 1 +1 9
6 Lazio 4 2 1 1 +5 7
7 Udinese 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Atalanta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Bologna 4 2 1 1 -3 7
10 Torino 4 2 0 2 +3 6
11 Sampdoria 4 1 2 1 +2 5
12 Sassuolo 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Spezia 4 1 1 2 -5 4
14 Verona 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Genoa 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Empoli 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Venezia 4 1 0 3 -5 3
18 Juventus 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Cagliari 4 0 2 2 -4 2
20 Salernitana 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Napoli
24′
V. Osimhen 0–1
L. Insigne
35′
A. Rrahmani 0–2
K. Koulibaly
Half-time 0–3
52′
K. Koulibaly 0–3
Fabián Ruiz
Samir 🟨
56′
J. Makengo 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
64′
Beto 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
64′
Nahuel Molina 🟨
65′
71′
🔁 H. Lozano
↦ M. Politano
71′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ L. Insigne
L. Samardžić 🔁
↦ T. Arslan
72′
M. Zeegelaar 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
72′
81′
🔁 A. Petagna
↦ V. Osimhen
81′
🔁 A. Ounas
↦ Fabián Ruiz
82′
🟨 Mário Rui
84′
H. Lozano 0–4
Mário Rui
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ N. Molina
85′
86′
🔁 A. Zanoli
↦ Mário Rui
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra M
5 T. Arslan M
23 I. Pussetto F
11 Walace M
10 Deulofeu F
Bench (12)
6 J. Makengo
9 Beto
24 L. Samardžić
4 M. Zeegelaar
93 B. Soppy
69 S. Ianesi
20 D. Padelli
45 F. Forestieri
2 N. Pérez
87 S. De Maio
66 E. Piana
8 M. Jajalo

Coach: L. Gotti

Napoli

4-3-3
25 D. Ospina G
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 A. Rrahmani D
8 Fabián Ruiz M
99 A. Zambo Anguissa M
7 E. Elmas M
24 L. Insigne F
21 M. Politano F
9 V. Osimhen F
Bench (9)
11 H. Lozano
20 P. Zieliński
37 A. Petagna
33 A. Ounas
59 A. Zanoli
44 K. Manolas
5 Juan Jesus
2 K. Malcuit
1 A. Meret

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,39
U
3,59
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.