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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Udinese
U T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Cagliari
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Udinese 17. · Cagliari 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 17 13 3 1 +14 42
2 Inter 16 12 3 1 +18 39
3 Lazio 16 11 3 2 +22 36
4 Roma 17 10 5 2 +16 35
5 Cagliari 16 8 5 3 +11 29
6 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +13 28
7 Parma 16 7 3 6 +4 24
8 Napoli 16 5 6 5 +4 21
9 Torino 16 6 3 7 -3 21
10 Milan 16 6 3 7 -3 21
11 Sassuolo 16 5 4 7 +1 19
12 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -3 19
13 Verona 16 5 4 7 -3 19
14 Fiorentina 17 4 5 8 -7 17
15 Lecce 16 3 6 7 -12 15
16 Sampdoria 17 4 3 10 -13 15
17 Udinese 16 4 3 9 -16 15
18 Brescia 16 4 1 11 -14 13
19 Genoa 16 2 5 9 -14 11
20 Spal 16 2 3 11 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Cagliari
30′
🟨 Fabio Pisacane
1–0 Rodrigo De Paul
Seko Fofana
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Luca Pellegrini
↦ Charalampos Lykogiannis
54′
🟨 Marko Rog
60′
🔁 Alberto Cerri
↦ Giovanni Simeone
Rolando Mandragora 🟨
63′
Hidde ter Avest 🔁
↦ Ken Sema
66′
Sebastien De Maio 🟨
69′
Mato Jajalo 🔁
↦ Rodrigo De Paul
70′
Ignacio Pussetto 🔁
↦ Kevin Lasagna
79′
81′
🔁 Daniele Ragatzu
↦ Marko Rog
84′
João Pedro 1–1
Paolo Faragò
2–1 Seko Fofana
85′
Stefano Okaka 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Ragnar Klavan
90′
🟨 Fabio Pisacane
90′
🟥 Fabio Pisacane
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
87 Sebastien De Maio D
5 William Troost-Ekong D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
6 Seko Fofana M
12 Ken Sema M
7 Stefano Okaka F
15 Kevin Lasagna F
Bench (12)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
50 Rodrigo Becão
18 Hidde ter Avest
4 Nicholas Opoku
2 Francisco Sierralta
8 Mato Jajalo
72 Antonín Barák
11 Walace
30 Ilija Nestorovski
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk
23 Ignacio Pussetto

Coach: L. Gotti

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
1 Rafael G
24 Paolo Faragò D
19 Fabio Pisacane D
15 Ragnar Klavan D
22 Charalampos Lykogiannis D
21 Artur Ioniță M
8 Luca Cigarini M
6 Marko Rog M
4 Radja Nainggolan M
10 João Pedro M
99 Giovanni Simeone F
Bench (10)
34 Giuseppe Ciocci
20 Simone Aresti
33 Luca Pellegrini
40 Sebastian Walukiewicz
2 Simone Pinna
3 Federico Mattiello
17 Christian Oliva
27 Alessandro Deiola
26 Daniele Ragatzu
9 Alberto Cerri

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,30
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.