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Serie A
Referee: L Pairetto
Sassuolo
T U S T U
2–2
Full-time
Cagliari
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 44%
31%
57%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
85%
50%
Both score Ø 74%
77%
71%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 16. · Cagliari 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 15 12 2 1 +18 38
2 Juventus 15 11 3 1 +11 36
3 Lazio 15 10 3 2 +21 33
4 Roma 15 8 5 2 +11 29
5 Atalanta 15 8 4 3 +14 28
6 Cagliari 14 8 4 2 +12 28
7 Napoli 15 5 6 4 +5 21
8 Parma 14 5 3 6 +2 18
9 Verona 15 5 3 7 -3 18
10 Torino 14 5 2 7 -4 17
11 Milan 14 5 2 7 -4 17
12 Bologna 14 4 4 6 -3 16
13 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 -3 16
14 Lecce 15 3 6 6 -9 15
15 Udinese 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 Sassuolo 13 4 2 7 -1 14
17 Sampdoria 14 3 3 8 -12 12
18 Genoa 15 2 5 8 -13 11
19 Spal 14 2 3 9 -12 9
20 Brescia 13 2 1 10 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,48
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.