La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Girona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | +61 | +35.5 | 93 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | +31 | +37.2 | 79 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | +30 | +13.6 | 75 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | +28 | +21.7 | 73 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | +21 | +10.4 | 62 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | +12 | +6.4 | 57 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | +5 | -6.6 | 56 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | +0 | -4.2 | 51 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -3 | -5.3 | 48 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | -10 | +0.4 | 45 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | -11 | -7.4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -3 | -11.1 | 41 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | -14 | -8.7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -14 | -21.6 | 38 |
| 15 |
Vallecano
|
36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | -15 | -2.3 | 38 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | -12 | -3.8 | 37 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | -12 | -6.1 | 36 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -24 | -14.2 | 32 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | -33 | -20.0 | 21 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -37 | -13.6 | 17 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Giorgi Mamardashvili
G
Dimitri Foulquier
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cenk Özkaçar
D
Yarek Gasiorowski
D
Pepelu
M
Javier Guerra
M
Hugo Duro
F
Coach: Rubén Baraja
Paulo Gazzaniga
G
Arnau Martínez
D
Eric García
D
David López
D
Daley Blind
D
Yangel Herrera
M
Aleix García
M
Viktor Tsygankov
M
Iván Martín
M
Sávio
M
Artem Dovbyk
F
Coach: Míchel Sánchez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Valencia
Valencia
Vallecano
Valencia
Alaves
Barcelona
Valencia
Valencia
Betis
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.