La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vallecano
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +27 | 49 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 41 |
| 3 |
Betis
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +9 | 33 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 33 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +9 | 32 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +8 | 32 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | +6 | 30 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 28 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 28 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +3 | 27 |
| 11 |
Espanol
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +0 | 26 |
| 12 |
Granada
|
20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 |
Osasuna
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -13 | 20 |
| 16 |
Getafe
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 16 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -17 | 14 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -20 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Zidane
G
I. Balliu
D
Fran García
D
Catena
D
Óscar Valentín
M
Santi Comesaña
M
R. Nteka
M
Isi Palazón
M
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Rui Silva
G
Marc Bartra
D
Álex Moreno
D
Bellerín
D
Edgar González
D
Sergio Canales
M
G. Rodríguez
M
Borja Iglesias
F
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Vallecano
Vallecano
Alaves
Villarreal
Vallecano
Vallecano
Espanol
Valencia
Vallecano
Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.