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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Vallecano
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Betis
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
47%
53%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vallecano 7. · Betis 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 21 15 4 2 +27 49
2 Sevilla 19 12 5 2 +17 41
3 Betis 19 10 3 6 +9 33
4 Sociedad 20 9 6 5 +1 33
5 Ath Madrid 19 9 5 5 +9 32
6 Barcelona 20 8 8 4 +8 32
7 Vallecano 19 9 3 7 +6 30
8 Villarreal 19 7 7 5 +11 28
9 Valencia 20 7 7 6 +0 28
10 Ath Bilbao 20 6 9 5 +3 27
11 Espanol 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Granada 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Celta 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Osasuna 19 5 7 7 -7 22
15 Mallorca 20 4 8 8 -13 20
16 Getafe 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Elche 19 3 7 9 -9 16
18 Alaves 19 4 4 11 -14 16
19 Cadiz 19 2 8 9 -17 14
20 Levante 20 1 8 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Betis
33′
🟥 Álex Moreno
34′
🟨 Sergio Canales
40′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ Borja Iglesias
Half-time 0–1
47′
Sergio Canales 0–1
Bellerín
51′
🟨 Andrés Guardado
Óscar Valentín 🟨
55′
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Óscar Valentín
60′
Álvaro García 🔁
↦ R. Nteka
67′
Bebé 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
67′
1–1 I. Balliu
Ó. Trejo
70′
P. Ciss 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
83′
84′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Tello
87′
🟨 Rui Silva
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
20 I. Balliu D
24 E. Saveljich D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
23 Óscar Valentín M
6 Santi Comesaña M
9 R. Nteka M
8 Ó. Trejo M
3 R. Falcao F
7 Isi Palazón M
Bench (11)
16 Sergi Guardiola
18 Álvaro García
10 Bebé
21 P. Ciss
14 Y. Qasmi
19 Kévin Rodrigues
29 Sergio Moreno
4 Mario Suárez
25 I. Arboleda
11 Andrés Martín
2 N. Maraš

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
19 Bellerín D
3 Edgar González D
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
11 Tello M
8 N. Fekir M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (9)
18 A. Guardado
24 Aitor Ruibal
20 D. Lainez
22 Camarasa
28 Rodri
1 Joel Robles
6 Víctor Ruíz
32 Fran Delgado
27 Rober

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,46
B
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.