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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada

Valencia

U T S T T

0–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

44%

28%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

6 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 8. · Ath Bilbao 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	32	21	8	3	+39	71
2	Barcelona	33	21	7	5	+39	70
3	Ath Madrid	33	15	14	4	+18	59
4	Sevilla	33	15	12	6	+15	57
5	Getafe	32	14	10	8	+12	52
6	Villarreal	32	15	6	11	+11	51
7	Sociedad	32	14	5	13	+7	47
8	Valencia	32	12	10	10	-5	46
9	Ath Bilbao	32	11	12	9	+8	45
10	Granada	32	12	7	13	+0	43
11	Levante	32	12	5	15	-5	41
12	Osasuna	32	10	11	11	-9	41
13	Betis	32	9	10	13	-9	37
14	Valladolid	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Eibar	32	9	8	15	-14	35
16	Alaves	32	9	8	15	-16	35
17	Celta	33	7	13	13	-10	34
18	Mallorca	33	8	5	20	-21	29
19	Leganes	33	5	10	18	-25	25
20	Espanol	32	5	9	18	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
3	Ath Madrid	16	10	5	1	+13	35
4	Valencia	16	9	7	0	+13	34
5	Ath Bilbao	16	9	4	3	+11	31
6	Getafe	17	8	6	3	+9	30
7	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+12	29
8	Granada	16	9	2	5	+7	29
9	Levante	16	8	4	4	+8	28
10	Sevilla	16	7	7	2	+8	28
11	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
12	Sociedad	16	8	3	5	+13	27
13	Alaves	16	7	5	4	+8	26
14	Mallorca	17	7	3	7	+2	24
15	Eibar	16	7	2	7	+0	23
16	Osasuna	16	6	5	5	-4	23
17	Celta	16	5	6	5	+3	21
18	Valladolid	15	3	9	3	+1	18
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	16	2	5	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	9	4	3	+14	31
2	Sevilla	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Ath Madrid	17	5	9	3	+5	24
4	Barcelona	16	6	5	5	+3	23
5	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
7	Sociedad	16	6	2	8	-6	20
8	Osasuna	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-11	17
10	Ath Bilbao	16	2	8	6	-3	14
11	Granada	16	3	5	8	-7	14
12	Espanol	16	3	4	9	-12	13
13	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
14	Celta	17	2	7	8	-13	13
15	Eibar	16	2	6	8	-14	12
16	Valencia	16	3	3	10	-18	12
17	Leganes	16	1	6	9	-15	9
18	Betis	16	1	6	9	-16	9
19	Alaves	16	2	3	11	-24	9
20	Mallorca	16	1	2	13	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.