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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Ath Madrid
S T S U U
3–0
Full-time
Betis
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 53%
50%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
64%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
13 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Betis 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 +14 24
2 Sevilla 11 7 3 1 +12 24
3 Sociedad 11 7 3 1 +7 24
4 Betis 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
6 Ath Madrid 10 5 4 1 +5 19
7 Osasuna 12 5 4 3 -1 19
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Barcelona 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Valencia 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Espanol 11 3 5 3 +0 14
12 Mallorca 12 3 5 4 -6 14
13 Villarreal 11 2 6 3 +1 12
14 Celta 11 3 1 7 -4 10
15 Elche 12 2 4 6 -6 10
16 Alaves 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Cadiz 12 1 6 5 -8 9
18 Granada 10 1 5 4 -6 8
19 Levante 11 0 6 5 -9 6
20 Getafe 11 0 3 8 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Betis
1–0 Y. Carrasco
Á. Correa
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Rodri
46′
🔁 Tello
↦ Juanmi
1–1 G. Pezzella
own goal
63′
66′
🔁 G. Rodríguez
↦ William Carvalho
João Félix 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
71′
78′
🔁 Rober
↦ A. Guardado
78′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ Willian José
João Félix ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
80′
2–1 João Félix
Y. Carrasco
80′
H. Herrera 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
84′
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ R. De Paul
84′
Renan Lodi 🔁
↦ Y. Carrasco
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-4-2-1
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
23 K. Trippier M
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
5 R. De Paul M
9 L. Suárez F
8 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (8)
7 João Félix
16 H. Herrera
19 Matheus Cunha
12 Renan Lodi
24 Š. Vrsaljko
1 B. Lecomte
18 Felipe
36 Carlos Martín

Coach: D. Simeone

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
2 Martín Montoya D
16 G. Pezzella D
15 Álex Moreno D
3 Edgar González D
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
28 Rodri M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi M
Bench (12)
24 Aitor Ruibal
11 Tello
21 G. Rodríguez
27 Rober
9 Borja Iglesias
17 Joaquín
8 N. Fekir
13 Rui Silva
5 Marc Bartra
20 D. Lainez
33 Juan Miranda
6 Víctor Ruíz

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
3,98
B
6,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.