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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Valencia

U T U T S

3–3

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 44%

33%

55%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

58%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

67%

55%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 0

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 11. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	8	3	1	+15	27
2	Sociedad	12	7	4	1	+7	25
3	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	4	1	+8	22
5	Betis	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Vallecano	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	Osasuna	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Barcelona	12	4	5	3	+4	17
10	Espanol	13	4	5	4	+1	17
11	Valencia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Villarreal	12	3	6	3	+2	15
13	Mallorca	12	3	5	4	-6	14
14	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-7	13
15	Celta	13	3	3	7	-4	12
16	Cadiz	13	2	6	5	-7	12
17	Granada	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Levante	13	0	6	7	-13	6
20	Getafe	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Sociedad	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
7	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
8	Betis	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+5	11
10	Valencia	6	3	2	1	+5	11
11	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Alaves	7	3	0	4	-4	9
14	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Celta	7	1	1	5	-5	4
18	Levante	6	0	4	2	-5	4
19	Getafe	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Betis	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Ath Bilbao	6	1	5	0	+1	8
9	Cadiz	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Mallorca	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Villarreal	6	0	4	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Barcelona	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
19	Levante	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Getafe	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.