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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Levante
T T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
0%
56%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
30%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 19. · Ath Madrid 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 11 7 3 1 +7 24
2 Real Madrid 10 6 3 1 +13 21
3 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +10 21
4 Betis 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
6 Osasuna 11 5 4 2 +1 19
7 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +5 18
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Barcelona 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Espanol 11 3 5 3 +0 14
11 Valencia 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Mallorca 11 3 4 4 -6 13
13 Villarreal 10 2 6 2 +3 12
14 Celta 11 3 1 7 -4 10
15 Elche 11 2 4 5 -5 10
16 Alaves 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Granada 10 1 5 4 -6 8
18 Cadiz 11 1 5 5 -8 8
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 11 0 3 8 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Madrid
12′
A. Griezmann 0–1
Felipe
18′
🟨 Mario Hermoso
25′
🟨 Felipe
1–1 E. Bardhi
37′
Pepelu 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 R. De Paul
↦ H. Herrera
59′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ L. Suárez
65′
🟨 Koke
67′
🔁 Renan Lodi
↦ Hermoso
Cantero 🔁
↦ Dani Gómez
70′
Miramón 🔁
↦ Son
70′
72′
🔁 Matheus Cunha
↦ A. Griezmann
Pablo Martínez 🔁
↦ M. Malsa
76′
76′
Matheus Cunha 1–2
Jorge de Frutos 🔁
↦ Pepelu
80′
85′
🟨 José Maria Giménez
Enis Bardhi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
86′
87′
🟨 Ángel Correa
2–2 E. Bardhi
90′
Róber Pier 🟨
96′
Róber Pier 🟨
99′
Róber Pier 🟥
99′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Levante

5-3-2
1 Aitor Fernández G
6 Ó. Duarte D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
3 Enric Franquesa D
4 Rober D
11 Morales F
12 M. Malsa M
10 E. Bardhi M
8 Pepelu M
21 Dani Gómez F
Bench (10)
29 Cantero
20 Miramón
25 Pablo Martínez
18 Jorge de Frutos
17 N. Vukčević
23 Coke
16 Soldado
34 Dani Cárdenas
7 Álex Blesa
19 Clerc

Coach: Javier Pereira

Ath Madrid

3-4-2-1
13 J. Oblak G
23 K. Trippier M
18 Felipe D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
16 H. Herrera M
6 Koke M
21 Y. Carrasco M
9 L. Suárez F
8 A. Griezmann F
7 João Félix F
Bench (8)
5 R. De Paul
10 Á. Correa
12 Renan Lodi
19 Matheus Cunha
1 B. Lecomte
15 S. Savić
17 I. Šaponjić
24 Š. Vrsaljko

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,55
U ✓
3,62
B
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.