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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada

Celta

S S U S T

0–4

Full-time

Villarreal

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

35%

41%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

41%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 8. · Villarreal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	Barcelona	17	9	4	4	+16	31
4	Sociedad	18	8	6	4	+14	30
5	Villarreal	17	7	8	2	+5	29
6	Sevilla	15	8	3	4	+7	27
7	Granada	16	7	3	6	-6	24
8	Celta	17	6	5	6	-2	23
9	Ath Bilbao	18	6	3	9	-1	21
10	Cadiz	17	5	5	7	-9	20
11	Betis	17	6	2	9	-11	20
12	Eibar	17	4	7	6	-2	19
13	Levante	16	4	6	6	-2	18
14	Alaves	17	4	6	7	-5	18
15	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-8	18
16	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
17	Valencia	17	3	7	7	-2	16
18	Elche	15	3	7	5	-5	16
19	Osasuna	16	3	5	8	-10	14
20	Huesca	17	1	9	7	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	+10	18
5	Granada	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Ath Bilbao	9	5	0	4	+5	15
7	Celta	8	5	0	3	+2	15
8	Sociedad	9	3	4	2	+5	13
9	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+4	13
10	Levante	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Getafe	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Alaves	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Elche	8	1	5	2	-3	8
17	Osasuna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Huesca	8	1	4	3	-3	7
19	Eibar	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Cadiz	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Sevilla	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Cadiz	9	4	2	3	-3	14
6	Barcelona	8	4	1	3	+5	13
7	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
11	Elche	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Celta	9	1	5	3	-4	8
14	Granada	8	2	1	5	-11	7
15	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Levante	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-5	6
19	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.