Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goteborg
Malmo FF
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Djurgarden
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 53 |
| 2 |
Malmo FF
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 50 |
| 4 |
Elfsborg
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +16 | 49 |
| 5 |
Hammarby
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Norrkoping
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 43 |
| 7 |
Kalmar
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Hacken
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +4 | 35 |
| 9 |
Goteborg
|
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | +0 | 34 |
| 10 |
Varberg
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 34 |
| 11 |
Sirius
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 |
Mjallby
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | +2 | 31 |
| 13 |
Halmstad
|
27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | -4 | 30 |
| 14 |
Degerfors
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Orebro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -33 | 17 |
| 16 | Ostersunds | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -28 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Degerfors
Goteborg
Goteborg
Djurgarden
Mjallby
Goteborg
Goteborg
Elfsborg
Goteborg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.