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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Marseille

T S U U S

0–0

Full-time

Metz

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

42%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%

15 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 7

3 Offside 6

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Marseille 4. · Metz 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	11	1	1	+16	34
2	Nice	12	7	3	2	+14	24
3	Lens	13	7	3	3	+11	24
4	Marseille	12	6	4	2	+8	22
5	Rennes	12	5	4	3	+7	19
6	Lyon	12	5	4	3	+3	19
7	Angers	13	4	6	3	+3	18
8	Strasbourg	12	5	2	5	+6	17
9	Nantes	12	5	2	5	+2	17
10	Monaco	12	5	2	5	+1	17
11	Montpellier	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Lille	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Lorient	12	3	6	3	-6	15
14	Troyes	13	3	4	6	-8	13
15	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-9	13
16	Bordeaux	13	2	6	5	-9	12
17	Reims	12	2	5	5	-3	11
18	Brest	12	1	6	5	-6	9
19	Metz	12	1	4	7	-14	7
20	St Etienne	12	0	6	6	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Lens	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Strasbourg	7	4	1	2	+10	13
6	Rennes	6	4	1	1	+8	13
7	Nice	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Nantes	6	4	0	2	+4	12
9	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+6	11
10	Lorient	5	3	2	0	+3	11
11	Lille	6	3	2	1	+0	11
12	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	Angers	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Clermont	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Brest	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Troyes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	St Etienne	6	0	4	2	-4	4
20	Metz	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Nice	6	4	0	2	+8	12
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Angers	7	1	5	1	+1	8
6	Monaco	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-7	7
8	Rennes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Reims	7	1	3	3	-2	6
10	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-6	6
11	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Lille	7	1	2	4	-3	5
13	Clermont	6	1	2	3	-9	5
14	Strasbourg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Lyon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Lorient	7	0	4	3	-9	4
18	Brest	6	0	3	3	-5	3
19	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	St Etienne	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.