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Super League

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Panathinaikos

S U S T U

1–3

Full-time

PAOK

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Super League · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 48%

33%

63%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

44%

63%

Both score Ø 48%

33%

63%

Average goals

2,3

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 10. · PAOK 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	10	7	2	1	+11	23
2	Olympiakos	8	6	2	0	+9	20
3	Aris Thessalonikis	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Aris	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	PAOK	8	5	1	2	+7	16
6	Volos NFC	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Giannina	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	OFI Crete	10	2	7	1	+1	13
9	Ionikos	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Panathinaikos	9	3	2	4	+7	11
11	Lamia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Asteras Tripolis	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Apollon	10	1	4	5	-12	7
14	Panetolikos	10	1	2	7	-15	5
15	Atromitos	10	0	3	7	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Panathinaikos	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Volos NFC	6	3	0	3	+1	9
4	Aris Thessalonikis	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Aris	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Olympiakos	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Giannina	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Ionikos	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	PAOK	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	OFI Crete	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Apollon	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Lamia	5	0	2	3	-3	2
14	Panetolikos	5	0	1	4	-5	1
15	Atromitos	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	PAOK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Aris Thessalonikis	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Aris	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	AEK	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	OFI Crete	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Lamia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Giannina	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Volos NFC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Ionikos	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Panetolikos	5	1	1	3	-10	4
13	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-8	2
14	Apollon	5	0	2	3	-10	2
15	Panathinaikos	5	0	1	4	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.