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Serie A

Referee: G Aureliano

Venezia

U S T T U

3–2

Full-time

Roma

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

18%

55%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%

13 Shots 27

7 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 18. · Roma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+20	31
2	Milan	11	10	1	0	+15	31
3	Inter	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Atalanta	12	6	4	2	+7	22
5	Roma	11	6	1	4	+7	19
6	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Fiorentina	12	6	0	6	+2	18
8	Juventus	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Empoli	12	5	1	6	-5	16
10	Verona	11	4	3	4	+4	15
11	Bologna	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Torino	12	4	2	6	+3	14
13	Sassuolo	11	4	2	5	+0	14
14	Udinese	11	2	5	4	-4	11
15	Spezia	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	Genoa	12	1	6	5	-7	9
17	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-9	9
19	Salernitana	11	2	1	8	-13	7
20	Cagliari	12	1	3	8	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Napoli	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Bologna	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Roma	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Verona	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Inter	5	3	2	0	+11	11
8	Torino	6	3	1	2	+6	10
9	Juventus	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Spezia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Atalanta	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Udinese	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Cagliari	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Salernitana	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Genoa	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Milan	6	5	1	0	+6	16
4	Inter	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Empoli	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Fiorentina	7	3	0	4	-2	9
7	Juventus	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Roma	5	2	0	3	+2	6
10	Genoa	7	1	3	3	-5	6
11	Udinese	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Venezia	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Torino	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Spezia	6	1	1	4	-12	4
17	Verona	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Salernitana	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-10	2
20	Cagliari	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.