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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

West Ham

S T S S S

3–2

Full-time

Liverpool

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,5

Scored

1,7

3,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,2

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

70%

80%

Both score Ø 55%

70%

40%

Average goals

3,1

3,7

Scored

2,0

2,9

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+2,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%

7 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Ham 4. · Liverpool 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	11	8	2	1	+23	26
2	Man City	11	7	2	2	+16	23
3	Liverpool	10	6	4	0	+21	22
4	West Ham	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Arsenal	11	6	2	3	+0	20
6	Man United	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Brighton	11	4	5	2	+0	17
8	Wolves	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Tottenham	11	5	1	5	-7	16
10	Crystal Palace	11	3	6	2	+1	15
11	Everton	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Leicester	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	Southampton	11	3	5	3	-2	14
14	Brentford	11	3	3	5	-1	12
15	Leeds	11	2	5	4	-7	11
16	Aston Villa	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Watford	11	3	1	7	-7	10
18	Burnley	11	1	5	5	-6	8
19	Newcastle	11	0	5	6	-12	5
20	Norwich	11	1	2	8	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	+14	13
2	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Man City	5	3	1	1	+10	10
4	Crystal Palace	6	2	4	0	+5	10
5	Everton	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Southampton	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Tottenham	5	3	0	2	-3	9
9	Brighton	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Leicester	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Man United	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Wolves	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Leeds	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Burnley	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Brentford	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Watford	5	1	1	3	-7	4
19	Newcastle	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Norwich	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+16	13
2	Chelsea	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	West Ham	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Man City	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Man United	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Wolves	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Brighton	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Brentford	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Leicester	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Tottenham	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Arsenal	5	2	1	2	-4	7
12	Watford	6	2	0	4	+0	6
13	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Leeds	5	1	2	2	-4	5
17	Norwich	6	1	1	4	-14	4
18	Burnley	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Newcastle	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Aston Villa	6	1	0	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.