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Super League
Referee: E Manouhos
Olympiakos
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Ionikos
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Ionikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Super League · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
63%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
63%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · Ionikos 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 10 7 2 1 +11 23
2 Olympiakos 8 6 2 0 +9 20
3 Aris Thessalonikis 9 5 2 2 +7 17
4 Aris 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 PAOK 8 5 1 2 +7 16
6 Volos NFC 10 4 2 4 -1 14
7 Giannina 9 3 4 2 +3 13
8 OFI Crete 10 2 7 1 +1 13
9 Ionikos 9 3 3 3 -3 12
10 Panathinaikos 9 3 2 4 +7 11
11 Lamia 10 2 3 5 -3 9
12 Asteras Tripolis 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Apollon 10 1 4 5 -12 7
14 Panetolikos 10 1 2 7 -15 5
15 Atromitos 10 0 3 7 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Ionikos
12′
🟨 Jerson Cabral
1–0 G. Masouras
17′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ P. Malong
41′
Half-time 1–0
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
46′
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
63′
Aguibou Camara 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Jacques-Alaixys Romao
T. Androutsos 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
72′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ Tiquinho Soares
73′
76′
🔁 D. Delgado
↦ L. Matsoukas
76′
🔁 R. Lenis
↦ Jerson Cabral
91′
🟨 Aias Aosman
92′
🔁 Cañas
↦ D. Delgado
92′
🔁 G. Manalis
↦ N. Vafeas
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vaclík G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
27 K. Lala D
66 P. Cissé D
45 O. Reabciuk D
6 Y. M'Vila M
8 P. Malong M
19 G. Masouras M
29 Tiquinho Soares F
77 Garry Rodrigues M
22 A. Camara M
Bench (9)
4 M. Camara
34 A. Papadopoulos
7 H. Onyekuru
14 T. Androutsos
11 Y. El-Arabi
5 A. Bouchalakis
17 M. Vrousai
28 M. Valbuena
31 Ö. Kristinsson

Coach: Pedro Martins

Ionikos

4-2-3-1
94 E. Choutesiotis G
16 D. Chygrynskiy D
15 G. Valerianos D
5 N. Vafeas D
24 A. Romao M
7 Aias Aosman M
22 G. Migas D
10 Dálcio M
20 L. Matsoukas F
11 Jerson Cabral F
34 Thuram F
Bench (9)
13 D. Delgado
92 R. Lenis
87 Cañas
9 G. Manalis
23 S. Sánchez
31 G. Kiakos
4 K. Tsirigotis
1 A. Anagnostopoulos
6 G. Gotsoulias

Coach: D. Spanos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
7,68
B
17,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Manouhos · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.