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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Feyenoord
S T U S S
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
2,5
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 57%
70%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
80%
78%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
3,9
3,9
Scored
2,6
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · AZ Alkmaar 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 9 0 3 +11 27
2 Ajax 11 8 2 1 +35 26
3 Utrecht 11 7 2 2 +14 23
4 Feyenoord 10 7 1 2 +13 22
5 Vitesse 11 6 1 4 -6 19
6 Twente 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 -2 18
8 Cambuur 12 6 0 6 -5 18
9 Willem II 12 5 3 4 -5 18
10 Go Ahead Eagles 11 5 1 5 -5 16
11 Heerenveen 11 4 2 5 -3 14
12 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 0 5 +3 12
13 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 -3 11
14 Heracles 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Groningen 12 2 5 5 -8 11
16 Sparta Rotterdam 12 2 4 6 -8 10
17 For Sittard 11 2 3 6 -12 9
18 Zwolle 12 1 1 10 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
70′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ A. Guðmundsson
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ L. Sinisterra
76′
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
76′
76′
🔁 Z. Aboukhlal
↦ F. Midtsjø
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
82′
86′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
1–0 C. Dessers
R. Nelson
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
18 G. Trauner D
5 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
2 M. Pedersen D
28 J. Toornstra M
17 F. Aursnes M
26 G. Til M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen F
7 L. Sinisterra M
Bench (10)
14 R. Nelson
9 A. Jahanbakhsh
33 C. Dessers
21 O. Marciano
20 João Carlos Teixeira
25 R. Hendriks
30 T. Jansen
3 L. Geertruida
6 M. Diemers
24 N. Bannis

Coach: A. Slot

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 P. Vindahl G
4 B. Martins Indi D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
5 O. Wijndal D
2 Y. Sugawara D
20 J. Clasie M
6 F. Midtsjø M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
10 D. de Wit M
9 V. Pavlidis F
11 J. Karlsson F
Bench (12)
24 T. Reijnders
7 Z. Aboukhlal
14 P. Koopmeiners
31 S. Beukema
22 T. Letschert
16 B. Reus
23 M. Taabouni
15 A. Witry
36 E. Poku
18 H. Evjen
12 H. Verhulst
19 J. Duin

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,83
B
3,65
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.