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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Sociedad
S U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 52%
64%
40%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
27%
20%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Ath Bilbao 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 +14 24
2 Sevilla 11 7 3 1 +12 24
3 Sociedad 11 7 3 1 +7 24
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 +8 22
5 Betis 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Osasuna 12 5 4 3 -1 19
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Barcelona 11 4 4 3 +4 16
10 Valencia 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Espanol 12 3 5 4 -1 14
12 Mallorca 12 3 5 4 -6 14
13 Villarreal 11 2 6 3 +1 12
14 Celta 11 3 1 7 -4 10
15 Elche 12 2 4 6 -6 10
16 Alaves 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Cadiz 12 1 6 5 -8 9
18 Granada 10 1 5 4 -6 8
19 Levante 11 0 6 5 -9 6
20 Getafe 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Bilbao
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
1–0 A. Isak
58′
59′
🟨 Óscar de Marcos
66′
🔁 Oihan Sancet
↦ Raúl García
Portu 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
67′
Alexander Isak 🟨
71′
Adnan Januzaj 🟨
74′
Mikel Merino 🟨
78′
Aihen Muñoz 🔁
↦ Diego Rico
79′
Zubeldía 🔁
↦ David Silva
79′
Guevara 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
79′
79′
🔁 Nico Williams
↦ Álex Berenguer
79′
🔁 Alex Petxarroman
↦ De Marcos
84′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
84′
🟥 Iñigo Martínez
Julen Lobete 🔁
↦ A. Isak
86′
87′
🔁 Unai Núñez
↦ Dani García
91′
Muniain 1–1
Ander Guevara 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 Álex Remiro G
15 Diego Rico D
6 Elustondo D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
21 David Silva M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
23 A. Sørloth F
19 A. Isak M
Bench (12)
7 Portu
12 Aihen Muñoz
5 Zubeldía
16 Guevara
35 Julen Lobete
2 Zaldúa
13 M. Ryan
29 Robert Navarro
22 Barrenetxea
27 Beñat Turrientes
26 Jon Pacheco
37 N. Djouahra

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray D
15 Lekue D
22 Raúl García F
14 Dani García M
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
7 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (9)
8 Oihan Sancet
30 Nico Williams
2 Alex Petxarroman
3 Unai Núñez
13 Jokin Ezkieta
33 Nico Serrano
6 Mikel Vesga
21 Capa
11 Jon Morcillo

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,17
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.