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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Clermont
T T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Marseille
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 15. · Marseille 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 +15 31
2 Nice 12 7 3 2 +14 24
3 Lens 12 6 3 3 +7 21
4 Marseille 11 5 4 2 +7 19
5 Rennes 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Lyon 12 5 4 3 +3 19
7 Strasbourg 12 5 2 5 +6 17
8 Angers 12 4 5 3 +3 17
9 Nantes 12 5 2 5 +2 17
10 Monaco 12 5 2 5 +1 17
11 Montpellier 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Lille 12 4 3 5 -3 15
13 Lorient 12 3 6 3 -6 15
14 Troyes 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -8 13
16 Bordeaux 12 2 6 4 -8 12
17 Reims 12 2 5 5 -3 11
18 Brest 12 1 6 5 -6 9
19 Metz 12 1 4 7 -14 7
20 St Etienne 12 0 6 6 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Marseille
24′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
25′
C. Ünder 0–1
M. Guendouzi
40′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
40′
🟨 William Saliba
Half-time 0–1
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Konrad de la Fuente
57′
🔁 D. Payet
↦ K. De La Fuente
57′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ C. Dieng
J. Berthomier 🔁
↦ S. Khaoui
62′
M. Bayo 🔁
↦ E. Rashani
62′
J. Dossou 🔁
↦ P. Hamel
63′
J. Tell 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
77′
80′
🔁 P. Gueye
↦ Pol Lirola
Oriol Busquets 🔁
↦ J. Iglesias
88′
91′
🔁 Luis Henrique
↦ Gerson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
1 A. Desmas G
21 F. Ogier D
4 C. Hountondji D
12 V. N'Simba D
20 A. Zedadka D
18 E. Rashani M
10 J. Iglesias M
6 S. Khaoui M
19 S. Samed M
26 P. Hamel F
11 J. Allevinah M
Bench (9)
8 J. Berthomier
27 M. Bayo
24 J. Dossou
9 J. Tell
22 Oriol Busquets
15 A. Mendy
40 O. Djoco
5 J. Billong
36 A. Seidu

Coach: P. Gastien

Marseille

4-1-4-1
16 Pau López G
14 Luan Peres D
29 Pol Lirola D
4 B. Kamara M
5 L. Balerdi D
2 W. Saliba D
8 Gerson M
17 C. Ünder M
6 M. Guendouzi M
20 K. De La Fuente M
12 C. Dieng F
Bench (9)
10 D. Payet
9 A. Milik
22 P. Gueye
11 Luis Henrique
23 J. Amavi
30 S. Mandanda
7 A. Harit
15 D. Ćaleta-Car
3 Álvaro González

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U
3,57
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.