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La Liga
Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez
Espanol
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
28%
33%
Both score Ø 36%
33%
39%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Ath Bilbao 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 15 3 0 +41 48
2 Ath Madrid 19 12 6 1 +20 42
3 Valencia 19 12 4 3 +21 40
4 Real Madrid 18 9 5 4 +15 32
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Sevilla 19 9 2 8 -5 29
7 Eibar 19 8 3 8 -7 27
8 Getafe 19 7 5 7 +5 26
9 Girona 19 7 5 7 +0 26
10 Celta 19 7 4 8 +6 25
11 Ath Bilbao 18 6 6 6 +1 24
12 Leganes 17 7 3 7 -1 24
13 Betis 18 7 3 8 -4 24
14 Sociedad 18 6 5 7 +1 23
15 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -6 23
16 Levante 19 3 9 7 -11 18
17 Alaves 19 6 0 13 -13 18
18 La Coruna 19 4 4 11 -16 16
19 Malaga 19 3 2 14 -20 11
20 Las Palmas 19 3 2 14 -32 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.