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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Lyon
T U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Metz
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
30%
30%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 17. · Metz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +16 24
2 Nantes 11 6 1 4 +2 19
3 Lille 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 Reims 10 5 2 3 +5 17
5 Marseille 10 4 4 2 +1 16
6 Angers 10 5 1 4 +0 16
7 Bordeaux 11 4 3 4 +1 15
8 Monaco 11 4 3 4 -2 15
9 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Brest 10 3 5 2 -2 14
11 St Etienne 10 4 2 4 -4 14
12 Nice 10 4 1 5 -4 13
13 Rennes 10 3 3 4 +0 12
14 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 -5 12
16 Metz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
17 Lyon 10 2 4 4 +5 10
18 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Dijon 10 2 3 5 -5 9
20 Strasbourg 10 2 3 5 -6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Metz
10′
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
1–0 M. Depay
J. Denayer
28′
31′
🟨 Manuel Cabit
2–0 M. Dembélé
33′
Lucas Tousart 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
59′
🔁 O. Nguette
↦ T. Ambrose
M. Cornet 🔁
↦ H. Aouar
69′
70′
🔁 M. Gakpa
↦ Noss Traoré
78′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ H. Maïga
M. Terrier 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
82′
Jean Lucas 🔁
↦ M. Depay
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lyon

4-4-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
3 J. Andersen D
14 L. Dubois D
28 Y. Koné D
5 J. Denayer D
12 Thiago Mendes M
29 L. Tousart M
17 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
8 H. Aouar M
11 M. Depay F
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
27 M. Cornet
7 M. Terrier
22 Jean Lucas
4 Rafael
30 C. Tătărușanu
18 M. Cherki
6 Marcelo

Coach: R. Garcia

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
13 S. Sunzu D
28 M. Cabit D
18 F. Centonze D
27 F. Boulaya F
25 Noss Traoré M
19 H. Maïga M
4 K. N'Doram M
6 M. Fofana D
9 T. Ambrose F
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (7)
11 O. Nguette
10 M. Gakpa
5 V. Angban
30 G. Dietsch
3 M. Udol
7 I. Niane
8 B. Traore

Coach: V. Hognon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,47
B
7,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.