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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Lille
U S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 7. · Bordeaux 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +16 24
2 Nantes 11 6 1 4 +2 19
3 Reims 10 5 2 3 +5 17
4 Marseille 10 4 4 2 +1 16
5 Angers 10 5 1 4 +0 16
6 Bordeaux 10 4 3 3 +4 15
7 Lille 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Monaco 11 4 3 4 -2 15
9 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Brest 10 3 5 2 -2 14
11 St Etienne 10 4 2 4 -4 14
12 Nice 10 4 1 5 -4 13
13 Rennes 10 3 3 4 +0 12
14 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 -5 12
16 Metz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
17 Lyon 10 2 4 4 +5 10
18 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -2 10
19 Dijon 10 2 3 5 -5 9
20 Strasbourg 10 2 3 5 -6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Bordeaux
15′
🟨 Youssef Aït Bennasser
1–0 B. André
Y. Yazıcı
22′
Half-time 1–0
A. Soumaoro 🔁
↦ José Fonte
46′
51′
🔁 Y. Adli
↦ J. Briand
L. Rémy 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
58′
59′
🟨 Laurent Koscielny
2–0 Y. Yazıcı
62′
64′
🔁 S. Kalu
↦ Y. Aït Bennasser
72′
🔁 J. Maja
↦ F. Kamano
J. Bamba 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
74′
3–0 L. Rémy
Y. Yazıcı
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lille

3-4-3
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo M
17 M. Çelik M
4 Gabriel D
2 Tiago Djaló D
21 B. André M
10 J. Ikoné F
24 B. Soumaré M
12 Y. Yazıcı F
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
5 A. Soumaoro
9 L. Rémy
14 J. Bamba
8 Xeka
1 Léo Jardim
11 Luiz Araujo
29 D. Bradarić

Coach: C. Galtier

Bordeaux

3-4-2-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
4 Mexer D
23 L. Benito M
3 Pablo D
17 Y. Aït Bennasser M
5 Otávio M
7 J. Briand F
12 N. de Préville F
18 Hwang Ui-jo F
11 F. Kamano M
Bench (7)
19 Y. Adli
10 S. Kalu
9 J. Maja
16 G. Poussin
8 A. Tchouaméni
14 V. Jovanović
25 E. Kwateng

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,59
B
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.