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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Perez

Heracles

S S T S U

4–0

Full-time

Zwolle

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,8

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

22 Shots 17

12 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heracles 10. · Zwolle 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	8	2	0	+24	26
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+17	23
3	Vitesse	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
6	Utrecht	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Twente	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Sparta Rotterdam	10	4	3	3	+0	15
10	Heracles	10	4	3	3	-1	15
11	Feyenoord	10	3	5	2	+1	14
12	Groningen	10	4	1	5	+0	13
13	Zwolle	10	3	1	6	-6	10
14	FC Emmen	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Den Haag	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	For Sittard	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	VVV Venlo	11	3	0	8	-17	9
18	Waalwijk	11	0	1	10	-23	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
4	Utrecht	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	FC Emmen	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Willem II	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	3	0	1	+5	9
9	Groningen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
10	Feyenoord	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Twente	6	2	2	2	+3	8
12	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+3	8
13	Heerenveen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
14	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-1	7
16	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-7	6
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Vitesse	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Heerenveen	5	3	0	2	+4	9
6	Willem II	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Den Haag	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-5	6
11	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	VVV Venlo	6	1	0	5	-10	3
16	For Sittard	5	0	1	4	-12	1
17	Waalwijk	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	FC Emmen	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.