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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Ein Frankfurt
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Dortmund
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
59%
41%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 77%
71%
82%
Average goals
3,8
3,6
Scored
2,4
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,70 xG 0,82
32% Possession 68%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Dortmund 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 13 3 1 +40 +31.5 42
2 Leverkusen 17 11 5 1 +18 +14.0 38
3 Ein Frankfurt 17 10 3 4 +16 +7.4 33
4 RB Leipzig 17 9 3 5 +5 -3.7 30
5 Stuttgart 17 8 5 4 +6 +9.8 29
6 Mainz 17 8 4 5 +9 -0.5 28
7 Wolfsburg 17 8 3 6 +9 -1.3 27
8 Freiburg 17 8 3 6 -5 +0.3 27
9 Werder Bremen 17 7 5 5 -1 -0.0 26
10 Dortmund 17 7 4 6 +3 +3.5 25
11 M'gladbach 17 7 3 7 +0 -4.6 24
12 Augsburg 17 5 4 8 -14 -6.5 19
13 Union Berlin 17 4 5 8 -9 -4.8 17
14 St Pauli 17 4 2 11 -9 -6.2 14
15 Heidenheim 17 4 2 11 -13 -4.3 14
16 Hoffenheim 17 3 5 9 -14 -9.3 14
17 Holstein Kiel 17 3 2 12 -18 -10.1 11
18 Bochum 17 2 3 12 -23 -15.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
1–0 H. Ekitiké
R. Kristensen
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Yan Couto
↦ R. Bensebaini
71′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ F. Nmecha
71′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ J. Brandt
Tuta 🔁
↦ R. Kristensen
74′
O. Højlund 🔁
↦ H. Larsson
75′
77′
🟨 Emre Can
78′
🟨 Serhou Guirassy
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
87′
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ M. Götze
87′
87′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ J. Ryerson
2–0 O. Højlund
92′
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
34 N. Collins D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
15 E. Skhiri M
13 R. Kristensen M
27 M. Götze M
16 H. Larsson M
21 N. Brown M
11 H. Ekitiké F
36 A. Knauff F
Bench (9)
35 Tuta
6 O. Højlund
19 J. Bahoya
20 C. Uzun
8 F. Chaïbi
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
9 I. Matanović
40 Kauã Santos
22 T. Chandler

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
3 W. Anton D
23 E. Can D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson M
8 F. Nmecha M
13 P. Groß M
5 R. Bensebaini M
10 J. Brandt F
43 J. Gittens F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (9)
2 Yan Couto
14 M. Beier
27 K. Adeyemi
7 G. Reyna
37 C. Campbell
20 M. Sabitzer
42 A. Kabar
33 A. Meyer
16 J. Duranville

Coach: N. Şahin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,59
B
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.