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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Hoffenheim
U T T T S
2–3
Full-time
Tottenham
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,55 xG 2,12
56% Possession 44%
22 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
14 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hoffenheim Tottenham
3′
⚽ J. Maddison 0–1
Pedro Porro
Kevin Akpoguma 🟨
10′
22′
⚽ Son Heung-Min 0–2
J. Maddison
Half-time 0–2
56′
🔁 M. Moore
↦ Richarlison
Max Moerstedt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
64′
1–2 A. Stach ⚽
D. Jurásek
68′
77′
⚽ Son Heung-Min 1–3
M. Moore
D. Mokwa 🔁
↦ A. Stach
79′
79′
🔁 W. Lankshear
↦ Son Heung-Min
Arthur Chaves 🔁
↦ T. Bischof
80′
F. Micheler 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
81′
2–3 D. Mokwa ⚽
A. Kramarić
88′
89′
🔁 C. Olusesi
↦ J. Maddison
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-2-2-2
1 O. Baumann G
3 P. Kadeřábek D
25 K. Akpoguma D
34 S. Nsoki D
19 D. Jurásek D
16 A. Stach M
20 F. Becker M
23 A. Hložek M
7 T. Bischof M
27 A. Kramarić F
33 M. Moerstedt F
Bench (11)
52 D. Mokwa
35 Arthur Chaves
28 F. Micheler
2 R. Hranáč
30 S. Kalambayi
56 T. Philipp
57 L. Đurić
37 L. Philipp
15 V. Gendrey
54 L. Erlein
40 H. Behrens

Coach: C. Ilzer

Tottenham

4-3-3
40 B. Austin G
23 Pedro Porro D
6 R. Drăgușin D
33 B. Davies D
14 A. Gray D
15 L. Bergvall M
30 R. Bentancur M
10 J. Maddison M
21 D. Kulusevski F
9 Richarlison F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (8)
47 M. Moore
42 W. Lankshear
64 C. Olusesi
41 A. Whiteman
63 D. Ajayi
79 M. Hardy
20 F. Forster
59 D. Cassanova

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.