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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
RB Leipzig
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 59%
47%
70%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
24 Shots 2
11 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match RB Leipzig 2. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 22 5 4 +46 71
2 RB Leipzig 30 18 7 5 +28 61
3 Wolfsburg 31 16 9 6 +22 57
4 Ein Frankfurt 31 15 11 5 +15 56
5 Dortmund 31 17 4 10 +24 55
6 Leverkusen 31 14 8 9 +16 50
7 Union Berlin 31 11 13 7 +9 46
8 M'gladbach 30 11 10 9 +8 43
9 Freiburg 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Stuttgart 30 10 9 11 +3 39
11 Hoffenheim 31 9 9 13 -5 36
12 Mainz 30 9 7 14 -16 34
13 Augsburg 31 9 6 16 -16 33
14 Werder Bremen 31 7 9 15 -17 30
15 Bielefeld 30 8 6 16 -23 30
16 FC Koln 31 7 8 16 -24 29
17 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
18 Schalke 04 30 2 7 21 -58 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
14′
🟥 Naouirou Ahamada
Ibrahima Konaté 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
D. Upamecano 🔁
↦ I. Konaté
46′
1–0 A. Haidara
Daniel Olmo
46′
N. Mukiele 🔁
↦ L. Klostermann
65′
E. Forsberg 🔁
↦ C. Nkunku
65′
2–0 E. Forsberg
67′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ T. Adams
73′
74′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ G. Castro
74′
🔁 M. Sankoh
↦ S. Kalajdzic
Benjamin Henrichs 🟨
76′
J. Kluivert 🔁
↦ Daniel Olmo
76′
88′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ T. Coulibaly
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

3-1-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 V. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Angeliño M
6 I. Konaté D
44 K. Kampl M
18 C. Nkunku F
25 Daniel Olmo M
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haidara M
19 A. Sørloth F
Bench (9)
5 D. Upamecano
22 N. Mukiele
10 E. Forsberg
39 B. Henrichs
21 J. Kluivert
27 K. Laimer
7 M. Sabitzer
23 M. Halstenberg
33 Josep Martínez

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
30 R. Massimo M
7 T. Coulibaly M
32 N. Ahamada M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
Bench (9)
16 A. Karazor
44 M. Sankoh
19 D. Churlinov
11 E. Thommy
21 P. Klement
15 P. Stenzel
33 F. Bredlow
31 M. Klimowicz
29 A. Cissé

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,39
U
5,14
B
7,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.