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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Rangers
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Celtic
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 21/18 matches
Win Ø 81%
90%
72%
Points per game
2,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
61%
Both score Ø 32%
19%
44%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,4
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rangers 1. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 21 19 2 0 +51 59
2 Celtic 18 13 4 1 +31 43
3 Aberdeen 19 11 5 3 +9 38
4 Hibernian 21 10 6 5 +10 36
5 Dundee United 21 6 7 8 -10 25
6 Livingston 19 7 3 9 -4 24
7 St Mirren 18 6 3 9 -7 21
8 Kilmarnock 20 6 2 12 -4 20
9 ST Johnstone 21 4 6 11 -12 18
10 Motherwell 19 4 5 10 -11 17
11 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -26 16
12 Hamilton 20 4 3 13 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -20 Celtic – Rangers 0–2 29. Dec -19 Celtic – Rangers 1–2 1. Sep -19 Rangers – Celtic 0–2

Match report

Rangers Celtic
Steven Davis 🟨
39′
41′
🟨 Ismaila Soro
Half-time 0–0
I. Hagi 🔁
↦ K. Roofe
46′
62′
🟥 Nir Bitton
65′
🔁 M. Elyounoussi
↦ D. Turnbull
65′
🔁 S. Duffy
↦ L. Griffiths
0–1 C. McGregor ⚽
own goal
70′
72′
🔁 S. Brown
↦ I. Soro
73′
🔁 H. Elhamed
↦ R. Christie
Alfredo Morelos 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Callum McGregor
75′
🟨 Shane Duffy
C. Itten 🔁
↦ A. Morelos
77′
Borna Barišić 🟨
79′
84′
🔁 T. Rogić
↦ C. McGregor
B. Zungu 🔁
↦ R. Kent
87′
B. Barker 🔁
↦ J. Ayodele-Aribo
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-3
1 A. McGregor G
26 L. Balogun D
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
31 B. Barišić D
10 S. Davis M
18 G. Kamara M
17 J. Ayodele-Aribo M
25 K. Roofe F
20 A. Morelos F
14 R. Kent F
Bench (9)
7 I. Hagi
11 C. Itten
15 B. Zungu
21 B. Barker
9 J. Defoe
3 C. Ughelumba
5 F. Helander
33 J. McLaughlin
16 N. Patterson

Coach: S. Gerrard

Celtic

4-1-3-2
1 V. Barkas G
93 D. Laxalt D
35 K. Ajer D
30 J. Frimpong D
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
17 R. Christie M
14 D. Turnbull M
12 I. Soro M
9 L. Griffiths F
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
27 M. Elyounoussi
4 S. Duffy
8 S. Brown
44 H. Elhamed
18 T. Rogić
10 A. Ajeti
21 O. Ntcham
65 C. Hazard
3 G. Taylor

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
3,37
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,90
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,90
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.