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LaLiga2

Vallecano

U T S U S

2–1

Full-time

Alcorcon

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

26%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

37%

16%

Both score Ø 27%

32%

21%

Average goals

1,8

1,4

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 9

3 Corners 6

17 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Alcorcon 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	19	13	3	3	+21	42
2	Mallorca	19	12	5	2	+19	41
3	Almeria	19	12	2	5	+11	38
4	Leganes	20	10	4	6	+5	34
5	Sp Gijon	19	9	5	5	+5	32
6	Vallecano	19	9	4	6	+6	31
7	Ponferradina	19	9	3	7	-1	30
8	Girona	19	8	4	7	-1	28
9	Mirandes	19	7	6	6	+3	27
10	Fuenlabrada	20	6	9	5	+0	27
11	Lugo	19	7	5	7	+0	26
12	Malaga	19	7	5	7	-7	26
13	Oviedo	19	6	7	6	+3	25
14	Logrones	19	7	3	9	-7	24
15	Las Palmas	19	5	8	6	-5	23
16	Tenerife	19	5	5	9	-5	20
17	Alcorcon	19	5	5	9	-5	20
18	Cartagena	19	5	4	10	-5	19
19	Castellon	19	5	4	10	-7	19
20	Sabadell	19	5	3	11	-7	18
21	Zaragoza	19	3	5	11	-9	14
22	Albacete	19	3	5	11	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	10	8	1	1	+13	25
2	Leganes	10	8	0	2	+8	24
3	Vallecano	9	7	1	1	+11	22
4	Sp Gijon	10	6	4	0	+8	22
5	Mallorca	10	6	2	2	+12	20
6	Almeria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Lugo	9	5	2	2	+4	17
8	Las Palmas	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Ponferradina	10	5	2	3	+1	17
10	Tenerife	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Mirandes	10	3	5	2	+2	14
12	Girona	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Oviedo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
14	Zaragoza	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Logrones	9	4	1	4	-1	13
16	Alcorcon	10	4	1	5	-3	13
17	Castellon	9	4	0	5	+1	12
18	Fuenlabrada	10	2	6	2	+0	12
19	Cartagena	9	3	1	5	+0	10
20	Malaga	9	2	4	3	-3	10
21	Albacete	9	2	3	4	-3	9
22	Sabadell	10	2	2	6	-4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Almeria	10	7	0	3	+4	21
3	Espanol	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Malaga	10	5	1	4	-4	16
5	Fuenlabrada	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Girona	10	4	2	4	-3	14
7	Mirandes	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Ponferradina	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Oviedo	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Logrones	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Sabadell	9	3	1	5	-3	10
12	Leganes	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Sp Gijon	9	3	1	5	-3	10
14	Lugo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Cartagena	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Vallecano	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Alcorcon	9	1	4	4	-2	7
18	Castellon	10	1	4	5	-8	7
19	Las Palmas	10	0	6	4	-8	6
20	Tenerife	9	1	2	6	-8	5
21	Albacete	10	1	2	7	-11	5
22	Zaragoza	9	0	1	8	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.