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2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim
S S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 2
15 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Heidenheim 8. · Nurnberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 13 8 4 1 +11 28
2 Hamburg 13 8 2 3 +10 26
3 Greuther Furth 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Bochum 13 7 2 4 +10 23
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 7 2 4 +1 23
6 Erzgebirge Aue 13 5 4 4 +5 19
7 Nurnberg 13 5 4 4 +4 19
8 Heidenheim 13 5 4 4 +1 19
9 Osnabruck 13 5 4 4 -1 19
10 Darmstadt 13 5 3 5 +2 18
11 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 +2 18
12 Hannover 13 5 2 6 +1 17
13 Regensburg 13 4 5 4 +0 17
14 Karlsruhe 13 5 1 7 +0 16
15 Braunschweig 13 3 3 7 -16 12
16 Sandhausen 13 3 2 8 -15 11
17 St Pauli 12 1 5 6 -9 8
18 Wurzburger Kickers 12 1 1 10 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,30
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.