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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
RB Leipzig
U T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 8 6 1 1 +18 19
2 Bayern Munich 8 5 2 1 +14 17
3 RB Leipzig 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Schalke 04 9 5 1 3 +3 16
5 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 +5 15
6 M'gladbach 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Augsburg 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Hannover 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Mainz 9 3 1 5 -5 10
12 Leverkusen 8 2 3 3 +2 9
13 Hertha 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Wolfsburg 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Hamburg 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Freiburg 8 1 4 3 -11 7
17 Werder Bremen 8 0 4 4 -6 4
18 FC Koln 8 0 1 7 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
10′
🔁 D. Burnic
↦ D. Aogo
1–0 M. Sabitzer
T. Werner
23′
Half-time 1–0
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ T. Werner
61′
K. Kampl 🔁
↦ N. Keïta
63′
65′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ T. Asano
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
73′
75′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ A. Beck
89′
🟨 Simon Terodde
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Bernardo D
6 I. Konaté D
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
8 N. Keïta M
10 E. Forsberg M
9 Y. Poulsen F
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
29 J. Augustin
44 K. Kampl
27 K. Laimer
17 Bruma
20 B. Schmitz
23 M. Halstenberg
28 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
23 O. Mangala M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
9 S. Terodde F
11 T. Asano F
Bench (7)
24 D. Burnic
19 C. Akolo
7 J. Brekalo
22 E. Ofori
26 A. Meyer
29 Ailton
33 D. Ginczek

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.