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Süper Lig
Referee: Erkan Ozdamar
Sivasspor
U U S S T
2–2
Full-time
Denizlispor
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sivasspor 14. · Denizlispor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 14 9 2 3 +15 29
2 Besiktas 14 9 1 4 +10 28
3 Alanyaspor 15 8 3 4 +12 27
4 Gaziantep 14 7 6 1 +11 27
5 Fenerbahce 14 8 2 4 +7 26
6 Hatayspor 14 7 3 4 +4 24
7 Karagumruk 14 5 6 3 +6 21
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Trabzonspor 15 5 5 5 -3 20
10 Konyaspor 14 5 4 5 +4 19
11 Goztep 15 4 7 4 +3 19
12 Rizespor 14 5 4 5 -2 19
13 Kasimpasa 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Sivasspor 14 4 5 5 -3 17
15 Antalyaspor 15 4 5 6 -9 17
16 Buyuksehyr 14 4 4 6 -3 16
17 Genclerbirligi 14 4 3 7 -9 15
18 Ankaragücü 14 3 3 8 -6 12
19 Denizlispor 14 3 3 8 -10 12
20 Erzurumspor 15 3 3 9 -13 12
21 Kayserispor 14 2 4 8 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sivasspor Denizlispor
4′
🟨 Muris Mešanovič
17′
H. Rodallega 0–1
R. Murawski
Mustapha Yatabare ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
1–1 M. Gradel
26′
29′
🔁 M. Özkal
↦ M. Yumlu
Half-time 2–1
2–1 F. Fajr
M. Yatabaré
46′
46′
🔁 Ö. Özdemir
↦ M. Bakalorz
57′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
I. Cofie 🔁
↦ Marcelo Goiano
59′
68′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ H. Rodallega
68′
🔁 M. Dossevi
↦ Tiago Lopes
Y. Öztekin 🔁
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
75′
Isaac Cofie 🟨
79′
82′
🟨 Zakarya Bergdich
A. Koné 🔁
↦ M. Yatabaré
88′
93′
M. Mešanović 2–2
R. Niyaz
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
4 A. Appindangoye D
6 Claudemir M
76 F. Fajr M
8 R. Yalçın M
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
9 M. Yatabaré F
7 M. Gradel M
Bench (10)
5 I. Cofie
10 Y. Öztekin
2 A. Koné
11 Jorge Félix
25 M. Yıldırım
29 C. Ninga
58 Z. Erdal
14 S. Camara
80 O. Kayode
19 K. Şahin

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
29 C. Pantilimon G
22 M. Yumlu D
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
6 M. Bakalorz M
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
Bench (9)
3 M. Özkal
76 Ö. Özdemir
9 H. Sacko
14 M. Dossevi
88 A. Kalkan
1 H. Altıntaş
99 A. Sünger
94 M. Kıryolcu
65 M. Sarıkuş

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U ✓
3,54
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Erkan Ozdamar · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.