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Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Union Berlin

T S S S T

2–0

Full-time

FC Koln

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 12. · FC Koln 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+14	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	9	3	2	+23	30
3	Dortmund	14	7	5	2	+14	26
4	Schalke 04	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Freiburg	14	7	4	3	+7	25
6	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Bayern Munich	14	7	3	4	+15	24
8	Hoffenheim	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Ein Frankfurt	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-6	17
12	Union Berlin	13	5	1	7	-3	16
13	Mainz	14	5	0	9	-14	15
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	3	3	8	-13	12
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-16	8
18	Paderborn	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+17	17
3	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
4	RB Leipzig	7	4	2	1	+12	14
5	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Bayern Munich	7	4	1	2	+12	13
7	Leverkusen	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Union Berlin	7	4	0	3	+1	12
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	-4	10
12	Mainz	6	3	0	3	+0	9
13	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-4	6
16	Werder Bremen	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	FC Koln	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Paderborn	7	1	0	6	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Bayern Munich	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Dortmund	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Hertha	8	1	3	4	-5	6
12	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-8	6
13	Mainz	8	2	0	6	-14	6
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	1	2	5	-9	5
15	Union Berlin	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	FC Koln	7	1	1	5	-11	4
17	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Paderborn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.