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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

Hertha

S U T S T

2–3

Full-time

Dortmund

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 52%

36%

68%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

60%

72%

Both score Ø 66%

60%

72%

Average goals

3,0

3,6

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 25

4 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 10

6 Offside 5

10 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 10. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	25	18	3	4	+35	57
2	Dortmund	25	17	6	2	+33	57
3	RB Leipzig	26	14	7	5	+24	49
4	M'gladbach	26	14	5	7	+14	47
5	Ein Frankfurt	25	12	7	6	+20	43
6	Leverkusen	25	13	3	9	+9	42
7	Wolfsburg	26	12	6	8	+5	42
8	Hoffenheim	26	9	11	6	+12	38
9	Werder Bremen	25	9	9	7	+6	36
10	Hertha	25	9	8	8	+2	35
11	Freiburg	26	7	10	9	-5	31
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	9	4	13	-17	31
13	Mainz	25	8	6	11	-12	30
14	Augsburg	26	6	7	13	-10	25
15	Schalke 04	26	6	5	15	-17	23
16	Stuttgart	26	5	5	16	-30	20
17	Hannover	26	3	5	18	-37	14
18	Nurnberg	25	2	7	16	-32	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+12	28
3	Bayern Munich	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+17	26
5	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Hoffenheim	13	5	5	3	+7	20
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	5	3	+5	20
9	Freiburg	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Hertha	12	5	5	2	+3	20
11	Wolfsburg	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Mainz	13	5	4	4	+0	19
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	0	7	-4	18
14	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	+3	16
15	Stuttgart	13	4	3	6	-8	15
16	Schalke 04	13	4	1	8	-8	13
17	Nurnberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
18	Hannover	13	3	1	9	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	0	3	+18	30
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	2	4	+7	23
3	Wolfsburg	13	7	2	4	+3	23
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	4	3	+9	22
5	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Leverkusen	13	6	2	5	+5	20
7	M'gladbach	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Hoffenheim	13	4	6	3	+5	18
9	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-13	13
12	Freiburg	13	2	5	6	-10	11
13	Mainz	12	3	2	7	-12	11
14	Schalke 04	13	2	4	7	-9	10
15	Augsburg	13	2	3	8	-13	9
16	Stuttgart	13	1	2	10	-22	5
17	Hannover	13	0	4	9	-24	4
18	Nurnberg	12	0	2	10	-27	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.