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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Luzern

T S T S T

2–2

Full-time

St. Gallen

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 42%

31%

53%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

81%

69%

Both score Ø 74%

75%

72%

Average goals

3,8

3,1

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,07 xG 1,76

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 7. · St. Gallen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	32	23	2	7	+36	+7.1	71
2	St. Gallen	32	17	8	7	+24	+10.7	59
3	Lugano	33	16	9	8	+12	-2.1	57
4	Basel	32	15	8	9	+8	+10.7	53
5	Sion	32	12	13	7	+13	+12.1	49
6	Young Boys	32	13	8	11	+5	-3.0	47
7	Luzern	32	10	9	13	+3	+2.3	39
8	Servette	32	9	12	11	+0	+7.4	39
9	Lausanne	32	10	9	13	-7	+3.7	39
10	Zurich	33	10	4	19	-18	-8.3	34
11	Grasshoppers	33	6	9	18	-25	-18.2	27
12	Winterthur	33	4	7	22	-51	-22.3	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	11	2	3	+20	+3.7	35
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+13	+13.8	32
4	Young Boys	15	8	3	4	+16	+9.0	27
5	Basel	16	7	6	3	+10	+17.6	27
6	Sion	16	7	6	3	+10	+5.2	27
7	Servette	17	5	7	5	+4	+4.0	22
8	Lausanne	16	5	5	6	+1	+9.8	20
9	Zurich	17	6	1	10	-6	-0.3	19
10	Luzern	16	4	5	7	+3	+5.6	17
11	Grasshoppers	16	3	5	8	-6	-6.1	14
12	Winterthur	16	2	4	10	-18	-3.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	15	7	6	2	+11	-3.1	27
3	Basel	16	8	2	6	-2	-6.9	26
4	Lugano	17	6	6	5	+0	-1.3	24
5	Sion	16	5	7	4	+3	+6.9	22
6	Luzern	16	6	4	6	+0	-3.4	22
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	16	5	4	7	-8	-6.1	19
9	Servette	15	4	5	6	-4	+3.4	17
10	Zurich	16	4	3	9	-12	-8.0	15
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	4	10	-19	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	17	2	3	12	-33	-18.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.